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Start
14.03.2026 16:00 UTC
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14.03.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished
Ligue 1
Lorient - Lens
2
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Lorient - Lens March 14, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lens.
Line favourite market consensus: Lens. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.16 / X 4.05 / 2 1.66
- 1X2 market: Lorient 18.6% / X 23.7% / Lens 57.7%
- Total 2.5: over probability 54.5%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.3%
1
18.6%
X
23.7%
2
57.8%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 3.3%
Over 2.5
54.4%
Under 2.5
45.6%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Lorient - Lens
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.66
market consensus · line only
X
4.06
market consensus · line only
1
5.18
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.19
market consensus · line only
12
1.26
market consensus · line only
1X
2.25
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.22
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.02
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
1.67
market consensus · line only
2 +1
2.10
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.78
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.12
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.03
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.75
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 5.29 18.9% | |
| X | 4.12 24.3% |
| 1.66 60.2% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.00 20.0% | 5.48 18.3% | 5.00 20.0% | 5.25 19.1% | 5.29 18.9% | 5.29 18.9% | |
| X | 4.00 25.0% | 4.14 24.2% | 4.10 24.4% | 4.10 24.4% | 4.12 24.3% | 4.12 24.3% |
| 1.67 59.9% | 1.69 59.2% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.66 60.2% | 1.66 60.2% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | William Hill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.07 48.3% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.00 50.0% | 1.99 50.3% | 2.12 47.2% | 2.00 50.0% |
| yes | 1.73 57.8% | 1.74 57.5% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.78 56.2% | 1.75 57.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 1xBet | Bet365 | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | SStats Consensus | William Hill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.19 84.0% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.19 84.0% | 1.19 84.0% | 1.18 84.8% |
| home_away | 1.27 78.7% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.26 79.4% | 1.27 78.7% | 1.27 78.7% | 1.25 80.0% |
| home_draw | 2.30 43.5% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.31 43.3% | 2.33 42.9% | 2.33 42.9% | 2.15 46.5% |
Match center
Lorient
D
D
D
W
L
08.03 16:15 UTC
Ligue 1
Lorient
1:1
Lille
Lille
01.03 16:15 UTC
Ligue 1
Lorient
2:2
Auxerre
Auxerre
22.02 16:15 UTC
Ligue 1
Lorient
3:3
Nice
Nice
15.02 16:15 UTC
Ligue 1
Lorient
2:0
Angers
Angers
07.02 18:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Lorient
0:2
Stade Brestois 29
Stade Brestois 29
1
Wins
3
Draws
1
Losses
1.6
Scored
1.6
Conceded
6
Points
Lens
W
D
L
W
W
08.03 14:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Lens
3:0
Metz
Metz
27.02 19:45 UTC
Ligue 1
Lens
1:1
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
21.02 16:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Lens
2:3
Monaco
Monaco
14.02 20:05 UTC
Ligue 1
Lens
5:0
Paris FC
Paris FC
07.02 16:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Lens
3:1
Rennes
Rennes
3
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
2.8
Scored
1.0
Conceded
10
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyLorient - Lens
Lorient
1
matches total
Lorient: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Lens: 1 (100%)
Biggest win
Lens 0:3 (02.11 16:15 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
3 goals (0:3, 02.11 16:15 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
02.11 16:15 UTC
Ligue 1
Ligue 1
Lorient
0:3
Lens
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