Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
29.10.2025 18:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Lorient - Paris Saint Germain

France Football
Lorient
Lorient
1 : 1
Finished
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lorient - Paris Saint Germain October 29, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Paris Saint Germain.

Line favourite market consensus: Paris Saint Germain. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 10.76 / X 6.57 / 2 1.24
  • 1X2 market: Lorient 9.0% / X 14.6% / Paris Saint Germain 76.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 67.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 8.8%
X 14.5%
2 76.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.9%
Over 2.5 67.4%
Under 2.5 32.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 29.10.2025 18:00 UTC
Match center

Lorient - Paris Saint Germain

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.24 market consensus · line only
X 6.60 market consensus · line only
1 8.50 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.05 market consensus · line only
12 1.12 market consensus · line only
1X 4.11 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.08 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.01 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.29 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.34 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.40 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.90 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.92 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.83 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
11.41 8.8%
X 7.12 14.0%
1.24 80.7%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
10.75 9.3% 10.50 9.5% 12.20 8.2% 11.00 9.1% 11.00 9.1% 11.50 8.7%
X 6.40 15.6% 6.60 15.2% 6.69 15.0% 6.00 16.7% 7.00 14.3% 6.90 14.5%
1.23 81.3% 1.24 80.7% 1.27 78.7% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.26 79.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.75 57.1% 1.95 51.3% 1.92 52.1% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.87 53.5% 1.90 52.6% 1.96 51.0%
yes 1.95 51.3% 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.80 55.6% 1.89 52.9%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.04 96.2% 1.05 95.2% 1.05 95.2% 1.05 95.2% 1.06 94.3% 1.05 95.2%
home_away 1.11 90.1% 1.14 87.7% 1.13 88.5% 1.10 90.9% 1.12 89.3% 1.13 88.5%
home_draw 4.00 25.0% 4.14 24.2% 4.00 25.0% 4.00 25.0% 4.05 24.7% 4.25 23.5%
Match center
Lorient
L D L W D
26.10 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Lorient 0:2 AngersAngers
19.10 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Lorient 3:3 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
03.10 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lorient 0:2 Paris FCParis FC
27.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lorient 3:1 MonacoMonaco
21.09 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Lorient 1:1 Le HavreLe Havre
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.8 Conceded
5 Points
Paris Saint Germain
W D D W L
25.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 3:0 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
17.10 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 3:3 StrasbourgStrasbourg
05.10 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 1:1 LilleLille
27.09 19:05 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 2:0 AuxerreAuxerre
22.09 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 0:1 MarseilleMarseille
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.0 Conceded
8 Points