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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
17.05.2025 19:00 UTC Match prediction
17.05.2025 19:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Lyon - Angers

France Football
Lyon
Lyon
2 : 0
Finished
Angers
Angers

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lyon - Angers May 17, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lyon.

Line favourite market consensus: Lyon. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.17 / X 8.28 / 2 16.13
  • 1X2 market: Lyon 82.4% / X 11.6% / Angers 6.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.7%
1 82.4%
X 11.6%
2 6.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 17.05.2025 19:00 UTC
Match center

Lyon - Angers

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 8.28 market consensus · line only
1 1.17 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 5.42 market consensus · line only
12 1.10 market consensus · line only
1X 1.04 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.17 85.5%
X 8.28 12.1%
16.13 6.2%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 5.42 18.5%
home_away 1.10 90.9%
home_draw 1.04 96.2%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 3.5 1.70 58.8%
Under 3.5 2.22 45.1%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.05 95.2%
13.64 7.3%
Match center
Lyon
L L W L W
10.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 0:2 MonacoMonaco
04.05 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 1:2 LensLens
26.04 19:05 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 4:1 RennesRennes
20.04 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 1:2 Saint EtienneSaint Etienne
13.04 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 3:1 AuxerreAuxerre
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.6 Conceded
6 Points
Angers
W W L L W
10.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 2:1 StrasbourgStrasbourg
04.05 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 1:0 NantesNantes
27.04 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 0:2 LilleLille
20.04 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 1:2 NiceNice
13.04 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 2:0 Montpellier
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.0 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLyon - Angers

Lyon
0 matches total
Angers
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history