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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
19.09.2025 18:45 UTC Match prediction
19.09.2025 18:45 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Lyon - Angers

France Football
Lyon
Lyon
1 : 0
Finished
Angers
Angers

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lyon - Angers September 19, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lyon.

Line favourite market consensus: Lyon. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.45 / X 4.63 / 2 7.04
  • 1X2 market: Lyon 65.8% / X 20.6% / Angers 13.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.8%
1 65.8%
X 20.6%
2 13.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.9%
Over 2.5 54.2%
Under 2.5 45.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 19.09.2025 18:45 UTC
Match center

Lyon - Angers

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.05 market consensus · line only
X 4.63 market consensus · line only
1 1.45 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.78 market consensus · line only
12 1.20 market consensus · line only
1X 1.11 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.83 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.17 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 6.60 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.44 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.76 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.08 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.81 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.94 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.46 68.5%
X 4.72 21.2%
7.25 13.8%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.44 69.4% 1.45 69.0% 1.53 65.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.38 72.5% 1.50 66.7%
X 4.50 22.2% 4.65 21.5% 4.76 21.0% 4.33 23.1% 4.75 21.1% 4.75 21.1%
7.00 14.3% 6.70 14.9% 6.65 15.0% 6.50 15.4% 8.50 11.8% 7.00 14.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Dafabet Marathonbet
no 1.77 56.5% 1.79 55.9% 1.78 56.2% 1.85 54.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.86 53.8% 1.76 56.8%
yes 1.93 51.8% 1.99 50.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.85 54.1% 2.00 50.0% 1.93 51.8% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Dafabet
draw_away 2.70 37.0% 2.70 37.0% 2.75 36.4% 3.00 33.3% 2.75 36.4% 2.75 36.4%
home_away 1.15 87.0% 1.23 81.3% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.20 83.3% 1.17 85.5%
home_draw 1.10 90.9% 1.14 87.7% 1.11 90.1% 1.08 92.6% 1.13 88.5% 1.10 90.9%
Match center
Lyon
L W W W W
14.09 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 1:3 RennesRennes
31.08 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 1:0 MarseilleMarseille
23.08 19:05 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 3:0 MetzMetz
16.08 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 1:0 LensLens
17.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 2:0 AngersAngers
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
0.6 Conceded
12 Points
Angers
D D L W L
14.09 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 1:1 MetzMetz
31.08 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 1:1 RennesRennes
22.08 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 0:1 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
17.08 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 1:0 Paris FCParis FC
17.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 0:2 LionLion
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
0.6 Scored
1.0 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLyon - Angers

Lyon
1 matches total
Angers
Lyon: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Angers: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Lion 2:0 (17.05 19:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (2:0, 17.05 19:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

17.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lion
2:0
Angers