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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
27.10.2024 13:00 UTC Match prediction
27.10.2024 13:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Lyon - Auxerre

France Football
Lyon
Lyon
2 : 2
Finished
Auxerre
Auxerre

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lyon - Auxerre October 27, 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lyon.

Line favourite market consensus: Lyon. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.43 / X 5.29 / 2 6.96
  • 1X2 market: Lyon 67.8% / X 18.3% / Auxerre 13.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.2%
1 67.8%
X 18.3%
2 13.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 27.10.2024 13:00 UTC
Match center

Lyon - Auxerre

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.96 market consensus · line only
X 5.29 market consensus · line only
1 1.43 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.04 market consensus · line only
12 1.19 market consensus · line only
1X 1.13 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.43 69.9%
X 5.29 18.9%
6.96 14.4%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 3.04 32.9%
home_away 1.19 84.0%
home_draw 1.13 88.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 3.5 2.00 50.0%
Under 3.5 1.91 52.4%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.17 85.5%
5.71 17.5%
Match center
Lyon
W W W L D
20.10 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 4:0 Le HavreLe Havre
06.10 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 2:0 NantesNantes
29.09 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 2:1 ToulouseToulouse
22.09 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 2:3 MarseilleMarseille
15.09 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 0:0 LensLens
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.8 Conceded
10 Points
Auxerre
W L W L L
20.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 2:1 Reims
05.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 1:3 Saint EtienneSaint Etienne
27.09 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 3:0 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
22.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 2:3 Montpellier
14.09 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 0:3 MonacoMonaco
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.6 Scored
2.0 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLyon - Auxerre

Lyon
0 matches total
Auxerre
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history