Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
14.12.2025 14:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Lyon - Le Havre

France Futbol
Lyon
Lyon
1 : 0
Finished
Le Havre
Le Havre

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lyon - Le Havre 14 декабря 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lyon.

Line favourite market consensus: Lyon. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.66 / X 3.88 / 2 5.15
  • 1X2 market: Lyon 57.1% / X 24.5% / Le Havre 18.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.4%
1 57.1%
X 24.4%
2 18.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 49.1%
Under 2.5 50.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 14.12.2025 14:00 UTC
Match center

Lyon - Le Havre

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.17 market consensus · line only
X 3.89 market consensus · line only
1 1.66 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.23 market consensus · line only
12 1.25 market consensus · line only
1X 1.17 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.25 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.72 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.65 market consensus · line only
2 +1 9.75 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.95 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.88 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.84 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.91 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.67 59.9%
Х 3.99 25.1%
П2 5.50 18.2%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 1.66 60.2% 1.66 60.2% 1.72 58.1% 1.62 61.7% 1.65 60.6% 1.72 58.1%
Х 3.85 26.0% 3.95 25.3% 4.00 25.0% 3.70 27.0% 4.00 25.0% 4.00 25.0%
П2 5.00 20.0% 5.10 19.6% 5.44 18.4% 5.00 20.0% 5.00 20.0% 5.10 19.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.87 53.5% 1.83 54.6% 1.86 53.8%
yes 1.85 54.1% 1.93 51.8% 1.87 53.5% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.88 53.2% 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5% 2.01 49.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 2.15 46.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.18 45.9% 2.28 43.9%
home_away 1.20 83.3% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.29 77.5%
home_draw 1.17 85.5% 1.19 84.0% 1.17 85.5% 1.17 85.5% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8%
Match center
Lyon
L W D L D
07.12 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 0:1 LorientLorient
30.11 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 3:0 NantesNantes
23.11 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 0:0 AuxerreAuxerre
09.11 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 2:3 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
02.11 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 0:0 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.8 Conceded
5 Points
Le Havre
D L L D D
07.12 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 0:0 Paris FCParis FC
30.11 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 0:1 LilleLille
22.11 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 0:3 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
08.11 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 1:1 NantesNantes
02.11 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 0:0 ToulouseToulouse
0 Wins
3 Draws
2 Losses
0.2 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLyon - Le Havre

Lyon
1 matches total
Le Havre
Lyon: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Le Havre: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Lion 4:0 (20.10 13:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (4:0, 20.10 13:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

20.10 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lion
4:0
Le Havre