Ligue 1 France

04.05.2025 15:15 UTC Match prediction

04.05.2025 15:15 UTC

Finished

Ligue 1

Lyon - Lens

France Futbol

Lyon

1 : 2

Finished

Lens

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lyon - Lens 4 мая 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lyon.

Line favourite market consensus: Lyon. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.53 / X 4.74 / 2 5.76
1X2 market: Lyon 63.0% / X 20.3% / Lens 16.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.8%

1 63.0%

X 20.3%

2 16.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 04.05.2025 15:15 UTC

Match center

Lyon - Lens

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 5.76 market consensus · line only

X 4.74 market consensus · line only

1 1.53 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 2.66 market consensus · line only

12 1.22 market consensus · line only

1X 1.16 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	SStats Consensus
П1	1.53 65.4%
Х	4.74 21.1%
П2	5.76 17.4%

Double chance

Outcome	SStats Consensus
draw_away	2.66 37.6%
home_away	1.22 82.0%
home_draw	1.16 86.2%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	SStats Consensus
ТБ 3.5	2.34 42.7%
ТМ 3.5	1.64 61.0%

Home/Away

Outcome	SStats Consensus
П1	1.22 82.0%
П2	4.59 21.8%

Match center

Lyon

W L W W D

26.04 19:05 UTC Ligue 1

Lyon 4:1 Rennes

20.04 18:45 UTC Ligue 1

Lyon 1:2 Saint Etienne

13.04 18:45 UTC Ligue 1

Lyon 3:1 Auxerre

05.04 19:05 UTC Ligue 1

Lyon 2:1 Lille

27.10 13:00 UTC Ligue 1

Lyon 2:2 Auxerre

3 Wins

1 Draws

1 Losses

2.4 Scored

1.4 Conceded

10 Points

Lens

L W L W L

27.04 15:15 UTC Ligue 1

Lens 0:4 Auxerre

20.04 15:15 UTC Ligue 1

Lens 3:1 Stade Brestois 29

11.04 18:45 UTC Ligue 1

Lens 0:2 Reims

06.04 13:00 UTC Ligue 1

Lens 1:0 Saint Etienne

26.10 19:00 UTC Ligue 1

Lens 0:2 Lille

2 Wins

0 Draws

3 Losses

0.8 Scored

1.8 Conceded

6 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyLyon - Lens

Lyon

1 matches total

Lens

Lyon: 0 (0%)

Draws:1 (100%)

Lens: 0 (0%)

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 0:0 (15.09 18:45 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

15.09 18:45 UTC

Ligue 1

Lion

0:0

Lens