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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
34-й тур 17.05.2026 19:00 UTC Match prediction
17.05.2026 19:00 UTC 34-й тур
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Lyon - Lens

France Futbol
Lyon
Lyon
0 : 4
Finished
Lens
Lens

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lyon - Lens 17 мая 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lyon.

Line favourite market consensus: Lyon. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.69 / X 4.18 / 2 4.42
  • 1X2 market: Lyon 55.9% / X 22.7% / Lens 21.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 62.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.7%
1 56.0%
X 22.6%
2 21.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.7%
Over 2.5 62.5%
Under 2.5 37.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

Лидер исходов AI: Lyon

Main outcome Lyon
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 41.0%

Модели дают единый сигнал. Такие матчи мы помечаем как более сильные.

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Match center
Stadium Групама (Лион, Франция), вместимость: 61556
Referee Франсуа Летексье (Франция)
Start 17.05.2026 19:00 UTC
Match center

Lyon - Lens

Итоговый протокол и результаты встречи Лион - Ланс, 17 мая 2026. Обзор и статистика матча, точный счет. Чемпионат Франции по футболу (Лига 1) 2025-2026, 34-й тур. Лион - Ланс, кто победил, онлайн трансляция матча.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

6/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:4
Events 18
Statistics 22
Lineups 40
min Event Player Team
5' 5' Yellow Card | M. Sarr M. Sarr Lens
20' 20' Normal Goal Lens
27' 27' Yellow Card | S. Abdulhamid Saud Abdulhamid Lens
32' 32' Normal Goal | W. Said | assist/sub out: A. Haidara W. Said Lens
39' 39' Substitution 1 | K. Antonio | assist/sub out: I. Ganiou K. Antonio Lens
45' 45' Normal Goal | F. Sotoca | assist/sub out: F. Thauvin F. Sotoca Lens
46' 46' Substitution 4 | S. Abdulhamid | assist/sub out: R. Aguilar Saud Abdulhamid Lens
46' 46' Substitution 1 | R. Kluivert | assist/sub out: R. Yaremchuk R. Kluivert Lyon
Metric Lyon Lens SStats
Ожидаемые голы (xG) 1.91 1.54 final
Заблокированные удары 5 2 final
Удары мимо 7 8 final
Удары в створ 4 4 final
Удары всего 16 14 final
Фолы совершено 10 11 final
Желтые карточки 1 4 final
Офсайды 0 0 final
Lyon #1 D. Greif, #8 C. Tolisso, #10 P. Sulc, #17 Afonso Moreira, #21 R. Kluivert, #5 O. Mangala, #9 Endrick, #19 Moussa Niakhaté, #16 Abner, #22 Clinton Mata, #98 A. Maitland-Niles
Lens #7 F. Sotoca, #16 M. Gorgelin, #20 M. Sarr, #22 W. Said, #27 A. Masuaku, #4 N. Čelik, #10 F. Thauvin, #21 A. Haidara, #5 A. Bulatovic, #32 K. Antonio, #23 Saud Abdulhamid
Player Team Metric SStats
A. Bulatovic Lens football.player.assists 1
A. Bulatovic Lens football.player.minutes_played 90
A. Haidara Lens football.player.assists 1
A. Haidara Lens football.player.minutes_played 61
A. Masuaku Lens football.player.assists 0
A. Masuaku Lens football.player.minutes_played 90
A. Sima Lens football.player.assists 0
A. Sima Lens football.player.minutes_played 29
A. Thomasson Lens football.player.assists 0
A. Thomasson Lens football.player.minutes_played 29
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 5.50 Fonbet · line only
1 1.18 Fonbet · line only
2 4.42 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.12 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.01 Fonbet · line only
X2 4.30 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 2.85 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 1.37 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.33 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 3.00 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.82 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.95 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
П1 1.68 59.5% 1.75 57.1% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.72 58.1% 1.70 58.8%
Х 4.10 24.4% 4.46 22.4% 4.00 25.0% 4.10 24.4% 4.30 23.3% 4.10 24.4%
П2 4.30 23.3% 4.57 21.9% 4.20 23.8% 4.50 22.2% 4.80 20.8% 4.40 22.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Unibet
no 2.40 41.7% 2.45 40.8% 2.38 42.0% 2.38 42.0% 2.37 42.2% 2.50 40.0% 2.40 41.7% 2.41 41.5% 2.35 42.6%
yes 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.55 64.5% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.54 64.9%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 2.05 48.8% 2.21 45.3% 2.15 46.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.22 45.1% 2.10 47.6%
home_away 1.18 84.8% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.23 81.3% 1.20 83.3%
home_draw 1.22 82.0% 1.24 80.7% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.22 82.0% 1.17 85.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
ТБ 0.5 1.03 97.1% 1.02 98.0%
ТБ 1.0 — 1.03 97.1%
ТБ 1.25 — 1.06 94.3%
ТБ 1.5 1.17 85.5% 1.10 90.9%
ТБ 1.75 — 1.14 87.7%
ТБ 2.0 — 1.17 85.5%
ТБ 2.5 1.50 66.7% —
ТБ 3.5 2.25 44.4% —
ТБ 4.5 3.85 26.0% —
ТБ 5.5 7.00 14.3% —
ТМ 0.5 11.00 9.1% —
ТМ 1.5 5.00 20.0% —
ТМ 2.5 2.55 39.2% —
ТМ 3.5 1.62 61.7% —
ТМ 4.5 1.25 80.0% —
ТМ 5.5 1.09 91.7% —
Match center
Lyon

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

Lens

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

Таннер Тессманн Реми Имбер Травмированные Режис Гюртнер Жонатан Гради Самсон Байду
Match center
Lyon
L W W W W
10.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 1:2 ToulouseToulouse
03.05 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 4:2 RennesRennes
25.04 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 3:2 AuxerreAuxerre
19.04 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 2:1 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
12.04 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 2:0 LorientLorient
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.4 Scored
1.4 Conceded
12 Points
Lens
L W D D W
13.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 0:2 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
08.05 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 1:0 NantesNantes
02.05 19:05 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 1:1 NiceNice
24.04 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 3:3 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
17.04 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 3:2 ToulouseToulouse
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.6 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLyon - Lens

Lyon
3 matches total
Lens
Lyon: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (33.3%)
Lens: 2 (66.7%)
Biggest win Lion 1:0 (16.08 15:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (1:2, 04.05 15:15 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 0:0 (15.09 18:45 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

16.08 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lion
1:0
Lens
04.05 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Lion
1:2
Lens
15.09 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lion
0:0
Lens
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Lyon
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Lens
Lyon Team comparison Lens
33 Игры 33
18 Победы 21
6 Ничьи 4
9 Поражения 8
53 Забито 62
36 Пропущено 35
60 Очки 67
93.67 Атаки 98.15
47.3 Опасные атаки 53.7
0 Голевые моменты 0
11.91 Удары по воротам 16.24
4.7 Удары в створ 5.58
Удаления 0.15 Голы Уэсли Саид Киллиан Антонио 0:1 20' Уэсли Саид Амаду Айдара 0:2 32' Флорьян Сотока Флорьян Товен 0:3 45+1' Флорьян Товен Андрия Булатович 0:4 53' Наказания Маланг Сарр 5' Сауд Абдулхамид 27' Павел Шульц 63' Рубен Агилар 73' Нидал Челик 83'

Лион Ланс 33 Игры 33 18 Победы 21 6 Ничьи 4 9 Поражения 8 53 Забито 62 36 Пропущено 35 60 Очки 67 93.67 Атаки 98.15 47.3 Опасные атаки 53.7 0 Голевые моменты 0 11.91 Удары по воротам 16.24 4.7 Удары в створ 5.58 0 Штанги/перекладины 0 5.45 Угловые 6.18 1.27 Оффсайды 2.03 13.12 Фолы 12.64 54.61 % владения мячом 51.18 1.82 Предупреждения 1.82 0.21 Удаления 0.15 Голы Уэсли Саид Киллиан Антонио 0:1 20' Уэсли Саид Амаду Айдара 0:2 32' Флорьян Сотока Флорьян Товен 0:3 45+1' Флорьян Товен Андрия Булатович 0:4 53' Наказания Маланг Сарр 5' Сауд Абдулхамид 27' Павел Шульц 63' Рубен Агилар 73' Нидал Челик 83'