Match center
Start
30.11.2025 19:45 UTC
30.11.2025 19:45 UTC
Finished
Ligue 1
Lyon - Nantes
3
:
0
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Lyon - Nantes 30 ноября 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lyon.
Line favourite market consensus: Lyon. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.41 / X 4.76 / 2 7.42
- 1X2 market: Lyon 67.3% / X 19.9% / Nantes 12.8%
- Total 2.5: over probability 56.9%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.4%
1
67.3%
X
19.9%
2
12.8%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 5.1%
Over 2.5
57.0%
Under 2.5
43.0%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Lyon - Nantes
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
7.44
market consensus · line only
X
4.77
market consensus · line only
1
1.41
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
2.89
market consensus · line only
12
1.19
market consensus · line only
1X
1.10
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
2.95
market consensus · line only
2 -1
2.27
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
6.53
market consensus · line only
1 -0.5
1.42
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.67
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.21
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.87
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.88
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.42 70.4% |
| Х | 4.98 20.1% |
| П2 | 7.72 13.0% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 1.39 71.9% | 1.42 70.4% | 1.46 68.5% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.45 69.0% |
| Х | 4.60 21.7% | 4.90 20.4% | 4.93 20.3% | 4.50 22.2% | 4.75 21.1% | 4.90 20.4% |
| П2 | 7.90 12.7% | 7.00 14.3% | 7.70 13.0% | 6.50 15.4% | 7.50 13.3% | 7.50 13.3% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.85 54.1% | 1.86 53.8% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.88 53.2% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.90 52.6% |
| yes | 1.85 54.1% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.96 51.0% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 2.90 34.5% | 2.92 34.3% | 2.75 36.4% | 2.75 36.4% | 2.87 34.8% | 2.97 33.7% |
| home_away | 1.14 87.7% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.19 84.0% | 1.22 82.0% |
| home_draw | 1.08 92.6% | 1.11 90.1% | 1.11 90.1% | 1.10 90.9% | 1.12 89.3% | 1.11 90.1% |
Match center
Lyon
D
L
D
D
W
23.11 14:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Lyon
0:0
Auxerre
Auxerre
09.11 19:45 UTC
Ligue 1
Lyon
2:3
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
02.11 19:45 UTC
Ligue 1
Lyon
0:0
Stade Brestois 29
Stade Brestois 29
29.10 20:05 UTC
Ligue 1
Lyon
3:3
Paris FC
Paris FC
26.10 19:45 UTC
Ligue 1
Lyon
2:1
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
1
Wins
3
Draws
1
Losses
1.4
Scored
1.4
Conceded
6
Points
Nantes
D
D
L
L
W
23.11 16:15 UTC
Ligue 1
Nantes
1:1
Lorient
Lorient
08.11 18:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Nantes
1:1
Le Havre
Le Havre
02.11 16:15 UTC
Ligue 1
Nantes
0:2
Metz
Metz
29.10 20:05 UTC
Ligue 1
Nantes
3:5
Monaco
Monaco
24.10 18:45 UTC
Ligue 1
Nantes
2:1
Paris FC
Paris FC
1
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
1.4
Scored
2.0
Conceded
5
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyLyon - Nantes
Lyon
1
matches total
Lyon: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Nantes: 1 (100%)
Biggest win
Lion 2:0 (06.10 13:00 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
2 goals (2:0, 06.10 13:00 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
06.10 13:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Ligue 1
Lion
2:0
Nantes