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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
09.11.2025 19:45 UTC Match prediction
09.11.2025 19:45 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Lyon - Paris Saint Germain

France Football
Lyon
Lyon
2 : 3
Finished
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lyon - Paris Saint Germain November 9, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Paris Saint Germain.

Line favourite market consensus: Paris Saint Germain. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.71 / X 3.87 / 2 1.73
  • 1X2 market: Lyon 20.2% / X 24.6% / Paris Saint Germain 55.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%
1 20.2%
X 24.6%
2 55.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.6%
Over 2.5 54.0%
Under 2.5 46.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 09.11.2025 19:45 UTC
Match center

Lyon - Paris Saint Germain

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.73 market consensus · line only
X 3.88 market consensus · line only
1 4.72 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.20 market consensus · line only
12 1.26 market consensus · line only
1X 2.12 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.23 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.04 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.74 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.28 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.77 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.08 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.07 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.71 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
4.88 20.5%
X 3.97 25.2%
1.74 57.5%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
4.65 21.5% 4.50 22.2% 4.92 20.3% 4.33 23.1% 4.75 21.1% 4.90 20.4%
X 3.80 26.3% 3.95 25.3% 4.03 24.8% 3.70 27.0% 3.90 25.6% 4.05 24.7%
1.72 58.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.77 56.5% 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.05 48.8% 2.09 47.9% 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.05 48.8% 2.02 49.5% 2.05 48.8% 2.03 49.3% 2.12 47.2%
yes 1.70 58.8% 1.72 58.1% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.78 56.2%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.18 84.8% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.21 82.6% 1.21 82.6%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1%
home_draw 2.05 48.8% 2.16 46.3% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.18 45.9% 2.17 46.1%
Match center
Lyon
D D W L L
02.11 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 0:0 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
29.10 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 3:3 Paris FCParis FC
26.10 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 2:1 StrasbourgStrasbourg
18.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 2:3 NiceNice
05.10 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 1:2 ToulouseToulouse
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.8 Conceded
5 Points
Paris Saint Germain
W D W D D
01.11 16:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 1:0 NiceNice
29.10 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 1:1 LorientLorient
25.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 3:0 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
17.10 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 3:3 StrasbourgStrasbourg
05.10 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 1:1 LilleLille
2 Wins
3 Draws
0 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.0 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLyon - Paris Saint Germain

Lyon
0 matches total
Paris Saint Germain
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history