Match center
Start
05.10.2025 13:00 UTC
05.10.2025 13:00 UTC
Finished
Ligue 1
Lyon - Toulouse
1
:
2
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Lyon - Toulouse 5 октября 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lyon.
Line favourite market consensus: Lyon. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.94 / X 3.49 / 2 4.03
- 1X2 market: Lyon 49.1% / X 27.3% / Toulouse 23.6%
- Total 2.5: over probability 51.8%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.0%
1
49.1%
X
27.3%
2
23.6%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.3%
Over 2.5
48.2%
Under 2.5
51.8%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Lyon - Toulouse
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
4.05
market consensus · line only
X
3.49
market consensus · line only
1
1.94
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.87
market consensus · line only
12
1.30
market consensus · line only
1X
1.25
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.92
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.46
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
3.92
market consensus · line only
2 +1
7.07
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.99
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.85
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.97
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.79
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.97 50.8% |
| Х | 3.49 28.7% |
| П2 | 4.27 23.4% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 1.93 51.8% | 1.93 51.8% | 1.98 50.5% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.95 51.3% |
| Х | 3.45 29.0% | 3.55 28.2% | 3.76 26.6% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.35 29.9% |
| П2 | 3.95 25.3% | 4.05 24.7% | 4.08 24.5% | 3.80 26.3% | 4.10 24.4% | 4.15 24.1% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.95 51.3% | 2.01 49.8% | 1.94 51.6% | 2.00 50.0% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.98 50.5% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.92 52.1% | 2.04 49.0% |
| yes | 1.77 56.5% | 1.78 56.2% | 1.79 55.9% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.78 56.2% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.79 55.9% | 1.83 54.6% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.83 54.6% | 1.92 52.1% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.88 53.2% | 1.93 51.8% |
| home_away | 1.25 80.0% | 1.32 75.8% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.31 76.3% | 1.31 76.3% |
| home_draw | 1.25 80.0% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.28 78.1% |
Match center
Lyon
W
W
L
W
W
28.09 15:15 UTC
Ligue 1
Lyon
1:0
Lille
Lille
19.09 18:45 UTC
Ligue 1
Lyon
1:0
Angers
Angers
14.09 18:45 UTC
Ligue 1
Lyon
1:3
Rennes
Rennes
31.08 18:45 UTC
Ligue 1
Lyon
1:0
Marseille
Marseille
23.08 19:05 UTC
Ligue 1
Lyon
3:0
Metz
Metz
4
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
1.4
Scored
0.6
Conceded
12
Points
Toulouse
D
L
L
L
W
27.09 17:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Toulouse
2:2
Nantes
Nantes
21.09 15:15 UTC
Ligue 1
Toulouse
0:1
Auxerre
Auxerre
14.09 13:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Toulouse
1:2
Lille
Lille
30.08 19:05 UTC
Ligue 1
Toulouse
3:6
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
24.08 15:15 UTC
Ligue 1
Toulouse
2:0
Stade Brestois 29
Stade Brestois 29
1
Wins
1
Draws
3
Losses
1.6
Scored
2.2
Conceded
4
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyLyon - Toulouse
Lyon
1
matches total
Lyon: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Toulouse: 1 (100%)
Biggest win
Lion 2:1 (29.09 13:00 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
3 goals (2:1, 29.09 13:00 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
29.09 13:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Ligue 1
Lion
2:1
Toulouse