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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
04.10.2024 18:45 UTC Match prediction
04.10.2024 18:45 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Marseille - Angers

France Futbol
Marseille
Marseille
1 : 1
Finished
Angers
Angers

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Marseille - Angers 4 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Marseille.

Line favourite market consensus: Marseille. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.28 / X 6.18 / 2 10.87
  • 1X2 market: Marseille 75.5% / X 15.6% / Angers 8.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.5%
1 75.5%
X 15.6%
2 8.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.10.2024 18:45 UTC
Match center

Marseille - Angers

Form 3/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 6.18 market consensus · line only
1 1.28 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.97 market consensus · line only
12 1.17 market consensus · line only
1X 1.06 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.28 78.1%
Х 6.18 16.2%
П2 10.87 9.2%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 3.97 25.2%
home_away 1.17 85.5%
home_draw 1.06 94.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 3.5 2.47 40.5%
ТМ 3.5 1.60 62.5%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.09 91.7%
П2 9.08 11.0%
Match center
Marseille
L W W
29.09 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Marseille 0:1 StrasbourgStrasbourg
22.09 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Marseille 3:2 LionLion
14.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Marseille 2:0 NiceNice
2 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.7 Scored
1.0 Conceded
6 Points
Angers
L D D L
29.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 1:3 Reims
22.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 1:1 NantesNantes
15.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 1:1 StrasbourgStrasbourg
01.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 1:4 NiceNice
0 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.3 Conceded
2 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMarseille - Angers

Marseille
0 matches total
Angers
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history