Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
29.10.2025 20:05 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Marseille - Angers

France Futbol
Marseille
Marseille
2 : 2
Finished
Angers
Angers

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Marseille - Angers 29 октября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Marseille.

Line favourite market consensus: Marseille. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.24 / X 6.37 / 2 11.65
  • 1X2 market: Marseille 76.8% / X 15.0% / Angers 8.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 60.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%
1 76.9%
X 15.0%
2 8.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.8%
Over 2.5 60.6%
Under 2.5 39.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 29.10.2025 20:05 UTC
Match center

Marseille - Angers

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 6.40 market consensus · line only
1 1.24 market consensus · line only
2 9.50 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 4.08 market consensus · line only
12 1.12 market consensus · line only
1X 1.05 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 4.05 market consensus · line only
2 -1 3.27 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 9.30 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.23 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.56 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.40 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.68 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.13 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.23 81.3%
Х 6.83 14.6%
П2 12.60 7.9%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.26 79.4%
Х 6.20 16.1% 6.50 15.4% 7.26 13.8% 5.75 17.4% 6.50 15.4% 6.50 15.4%
П2 10.50 9.5% 12.50 8.0% 11.20 8.9% 11.00 9.1% 9.50 10.5% 13.50 7.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.67 59.9% 1.62 61.7% 1.70 58.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.67 59.9% 1.65 60.6% 1.67 59.9% 1.64 61.0% 1.68 59.5%
yes 2.10 47.6% 2.26 44.3% 2.14 46.7% 2.00 50.0% 2.10 47.6% 2.15 46.5% 2.05 48.8% 2.12 47.2% 2.26 44.3%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 3.90 25.6% 4.28 23.4% 3.90 25.6% 3.75 26.7% 4.20 23.8% 4.40 22.7%
home_away 1.12 89.3% 1.11 90.1% 1.14 87.7% 1.11 90.1% 1.12 89.3% 1.14 87.7%
home_draw 1.04 96.2% 1.06 94.3% 1.05 95.2% 1.07 93.5% 1.06 94.3% 1.04 96.2%
Match center
Marseille
L W W W W
25.10 19:05 UTC Ligue 1
Marseille 1:2 LensLens
18.10 19:05 UTC Ligue 1
Marseille 6:2 Le HavreLe Havre
04.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Marseille 3:0 MetzMetz
26.09 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Marseille 2:1 StrasbourgStrasbourg
22.09 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Marseille 1:0 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.6 Scored
1.0 Conceded
12 Points
Angers
W D L L L
26.10 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 2:0 LorientLorient
18.10 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 1:1 MonacoMonaco
05.10 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 0:5 StrasbourgStrasbourg
28.09 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 0:2 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
19.09 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 0:1 LionLion
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
0.6 Scored
1.8 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMarseille - Angers

Marseille
1 matches total
Angers
Marseille: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Angers: 0 (0%)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 04.10 18:45 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (04.10 18:45 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 1

Match history

04.10 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Marseille
1:1
Angers