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Ligue 1 France

13.03.2026 19:45 UTC Match prediction

13.03.2026 19:45 UTC

Finished

Ligue 1

Marseille - Auxerre

France Football

Marseille

1 : 0

Finished

Auxerre

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Marseille - Auxerre March 13, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Marseille.

Line favourite market consensus: Marseille. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.42 / X 4.84 / 2 7.43
1X2 market: Marseille 67.3% / X 19.8% / Auxerre 12.9%
Total 2.5: over probability 55.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.5%

1 67.4%

X 19.8%

2 12.9%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.9%

Over 2.5 55.0%

Under 2.5 45.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 13.03.2026 19:45 UTC

Match center

Marseille - Auxerre

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 7.49 market consensus · line only

X 4.85 market consensus · line only

1 1.42 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 2.93 market consensus · line only

12 1.20 market consensus · line only

1X 1.11 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.92 market consensus · line only

2 -1 2.25 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 6.40 market consensus · line only

1 -0.5 1.42 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.75 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.14 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.80 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.95 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.42 70.4%
X	4.93 20.3%
	7.89 12.7%

Match Winner

Outcome	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SStats Consensus
	1.40 71.4%	1.45 69.0%	1.42 70.4%	1.42 70.4%	1.42 70.4%	1.42 70.4%
X	4.95 20.2%	5.01 20.0%	4.75 21.1%	4.90 20.4%	4.93 20.3%	4.93 20.3%
	7.40 13.5%	7.75 12.9%	7.00 14.3%	7.60 13.2%	7.89 12.7%	7.89 12.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	William Hill
no	1.78 56.2%	1.80 55.6%	1.80 55.6%	1.79 55.9%	1.85 54.1%	1.80 55.6%
yes	2.00 50.0%	1.92 52.1%	1.95 51.3%	1.92 52.1%	2.02 49.5%	1.91 52.4%

Double chance

Outcome	1xBet	Bet365	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SStats Consensus	William Hill
draw_away	2.96 33.8%	2.75 36.4%	2.98 33.6%	3.04 32.9%	3.04 32.9%	2.80 35.7%
home_away	1.21 82.6%	1.17 85.5%	1.20 83.3%	1.22 82.0%	1.22 82.0%	1.20 83.3%
home_draw	1.11 90.1%	1.11 90.1%	1.10 90.9%	1.11 90.1%	1.11 90.1%	1.10 90.9%

Match center

Marseille

W W L D L

07.03 20:05 UTC Ligue 1

Marseille 1:0 Toulouse

01.03 19:45 UTC Ligue 1

Marseille 3:2 Lion

20.02 19:45 UTC Ligue 1

Marseille 0:2 Stade Brestois 29

14.02 16:00 UTC Ligue 1

Marseille 2:2 Strasbourg

08.02 19:45 UTC Ligue 1

Marseille 0:5 Paris Saint Germain

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

1.2 Scored

2.2 Conceded

7 Points

Auxerre

D D L W D

07.03 18:00 UTC Ligue 1

Auxerre 0:0 Strasbourg

01.03 16:15 UTC Ligue 1

Auxerre 2:2 Lorient

22.02 14:00 UTC Ligue 1

Auxerre 0:3 Rennes

15.02 16:15 UTC Ligue 1

Auxerre 3:1 Metz

08.02 16:15 UTC Ligue 1

Auxerre 0:0 Paris FC

1 Wins

3 Draws

1 Losses

1.0 Scored

1.2 Conceded

6 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyMarseille - Auxerre

Marseille

1 matches total

Auxerre

Marseille: 1 (100%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Auxerre: 0 (0%)

Biggest win Marseille 1:0 (01.11 20:05 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 1 goals (1:0, 01.11 20:05 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 1

Match history

01.11 20:05 UTC

Ligue 1

Marseille

1:0

Auxerre