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Ligue 1 France

18.10.2025 19:05 UTC Match prediction

18.10.2025 19:05 UTC

Finished

Ligue 1

Marseille - Le Havre

France Football

Marseille

6 : 2

Finished

Le Havre

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Marseille - Le Havre October 18, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Marseille.

Line favourite market consensus: Marseille. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.35 / X 5.35 / 2 8.78
1X2 market: Marseille 71.1% / X 18.0% / Le Havre 11.0%
Total 2.5: over probability 59.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.2%

1 71.1%

X 17.9%

2 10.9%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.7%

Over 2.5 59.7%

Under 2.5 40.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 18.10.2025 19:05 UTC

Match center

Marseille - Le Havre

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 8.84 market consensus · line only

X 5.38 market consensus · line only

1 1.35 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 3.32 market consensus · line only

12 1.18 market consensus · line only

1X 1.09 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 3.43 market consensus · line only

2 -1 2.52 market consensus · line only

1 -0.5 1.33 market consensus · line only

1 -1 1.50 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.60 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.37 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.89 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.88 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.34 74.6%
X	5.58 17.9%
	9.29 10.8%

Match Winner

Outcome	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SStats Consensus
	1.32 75.8%	1.39 71.9%	1.33 75.2%	1.36 73.5%	1.34 74.6%	1.34 74.6%
X	5.50 18.2%	5.46 18.3%	5.00 20.0%	5.35 18.7%	5.58 17.9%	5.58 17.9%
	8.80 11.4%	8.85 11.3%	8.50 11.8%	8.70 11.5%	9.29 10.8%	9.29 10.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	William Hill
no	1.87 53.5%	1.87 53.5%	1.91 52.4%	1.85 54.1%	1.92 52.1%	1.91 52.4%
yes	1.90 52.6%	1.85 54.1%	1.91 52.4%	1.85 54.1%	1.94 51.6%	1.83 54.6%

Double chance

Outcome	1xBet	Bet365	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SStats Consensus	William Hill
draw_away	3.26 30.7%	3.25 30.8%	3.34 29.9%	3.54 28.3%	3.54 28.3%	3.00 33.3%
home_away	1.19 84.0%	1.17 85.5%	1.18 84.8%	1.18 84.8%	1.18 84.8%	1.18 84.8%
home_draw	1.08 92.6%	1.08 92.6%	1.09 91.7%	1.09 91.7%	1.09 91.7%	1.08 92.6%

Match center

Marseille

W W W W L

04.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1

Marseille 3:0 Metz

26.09 18:45 UTC Ligue 1

Marseille 2:1 Strasbourg

22.09 18:00 UTC Ligue 1

Marseille 1:0 Paris Saint Germain

12.09 18:45 UTC Ligue 1

Marseille 4:0 Lorient

31.08 18:45 UTC Ligue 1

Marseille 0:1 Lion

4 Wins

0 Draws

1 Losses

2.0 Scored

0.4 Conceded

12 Points

Le Havre

D D D L W

05.10 15:15 UTC Ligue 1

Le Havre 2:2 Rennes

28.09 15:15 UTC Ligue 1

Le Havre 0:0 Metz

21.09 15:15 UTC Ligue 1

Le Havre 1:1 Lorient

14.09 15:15 UTC Ligue 1

Le Havre 0:1 Strasbourg

31.08 15:15 UTC Ligue 1

Le Havre 3:1 Nice

1 Wins

3 Draws

1 Losses

1.2 Scored

1.0 Conceded

6 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyMarseille - Le Havre

Marseille

1 matches total

Le Havre

Marseille: 1 (100%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Le Havre: 0 (0%)

Biggest win Marseille 3:1 (10.05 19:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 4 goals (3:1, 10.05 19:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 1

1 Goals conceded 3

Match history

10.05 19:00 UTC

Ligue 1

Marseille

3:1

Le Havre