PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
12.09.2025 18:45 UTC Match prediction
12.09.2025 18:45 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Marseille - Lorient

France Football
Marseille
Marseille
4 : 0
Finished
Lorient
Lorient

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Marseille - Lorient September 12, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Marseille.

Line favourite market consensus: Marseille. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.33 / X 5.50 / 2 8.00
  • 1X2 market: Marseille 71.0% / X 17.2% / Lorient 11.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 65.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.9%
1 71.0%
X 17.2%
2 11.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.8%
Over 2.5 65.6%
Under 2.5 34.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 12.09.2025 18:45 UTC
Match center

Marseille - Lorient

Form 5/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.00 market consensus · line only
X 5.50 market consensus · line only
1 1.33 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.25 market consensus · line only
12 1.14 market consensus · line only
1X 1.08 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.30 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.60 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 7.00 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.32 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.44 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.75 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.00 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.75 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.33 75.2%
X 5.50 18.2%
8.00 12.5%

Match Winner

Outcome Bet365 SStats Consensus
1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2%
X 5.50 18.2% 5.50 18.2%
8.00 12.5% 8.00 12.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome Bet365
no 2.00 50.0%
yes 1.75 57.1%

Double chance

Outcome Bet365 SStats Consensus
draw_away 3.25 30.8% 3.25 30.8%
home_away 1.14 87.7% 1.14 87.7%
home_draw 1.08 92.6% 1.08 92.6%
Match center
Marseille
L W L W W
31.08 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Marseille 0:1 LionLion
23.08 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Marseille 5:2 Paris FCParis FC
15.08 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Marseille 0:1 RennesRennes
17.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Marseille 4:2 RennesRennes
10.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Marseille 3:1 Le HavreLe Havre
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
2.4 Scored
1.4 Conceded
9 Points
Lorient
L W L
30.08 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lorient 1:7 LilleLille
24.08 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lorient 4:0 RennesRennes
17.08 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Lorient 0:1 AuxerreAuxerre
1 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.7 Scored
2.7 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMarseille - Lorient

Marseille
0 matches total
Lorient
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history