Match center
Start
01.03.2026 19:45 UTC
01.03.2026 19:45 UTC
Finished
Ligue 1
Marseille - Lyon
3
:
2
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Marseille - Lyon 1 марта 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Marseille.
Line favourite market consensus: Marseille. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.96 / X 3.61 / 2 3.75
- 1X2 market: Marseille 48.4% / X 26.3% / Lyon 25.3%
- Total 2.5: over probability 52.3%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.4%
1
48.4%
X
26.3%
2
25.3%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.4%
Over 2.5
52.3%
Under 2.5
47.7%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Marseille - Lyon
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
2
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
3.76
market consensus · line only
X
3.62
market consensus · line only
1
1.96
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.83
market consensus · line only
12
1.28
market consensus · line only
1X
1.27
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.89
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.46
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
3.76
market consensus · line only
2 +1
7.20
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.83
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.01
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.12
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.68
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.99 50.3% |
| Х | 3.75 26.7% |
| П2 | 3.85 26.0% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 1.93 51.8% | 1.97 50.8% | 2.01 49.8% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.98 50.5% |
| Х | 3.55 28.2% | 3.70 27.0% | 3.79 26.4% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.70 27.0% | 3.60 27.8% |
| П2 | 3.75 26.7% | 3.70 27.0% | 3.94 25.4% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.75 26.7% | 3.80 26.3% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.15 46.5% | 2.14 46.7% | 2.11 47.4% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.08 48.1% | 2.21 45.3% |
| yes | 1.62 61.7% | 1.69 59.2% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.72 58.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.83 54.6% | 1.89 52.9% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.80 55.6% |
| home_away | 1.22 82.0% | 1.31 76.3% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.25 80.0% |
| home_draw | 1.25 80.0% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.25 80.0% |
Match center
Marseille
L
D
L
D
W
20.02 19:45 UTC
Ligue 1
Marseille
0:2
Stade Brestois 29
Stade Brestois 29
14.02 16:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Marseille
2:2
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
08.02 19:45 UTC
Ligue 1
Marseille
0:5
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
31.01 16:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Marseille
2:2
Paris FC
Paris FC
24.01 20:05 UTC
Ligue 1
Marseille
3:1
Lens
Lens
1
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
1.4
Scored
2.4
Conceded
5
Points
Lyon
L
W
W
W
W
22.02 19:45 UTC
Ligue 1
Lyon
1:3
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
15.02 19:45 UTC
Ligue 1
Lyon
2:0
Nice
Nice
07.02 20:05 UTC
Ligue 1
Lyon
1:0
Nantes
Nantes
01.02 14:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Lyon
1:0
Lille
Lille
25.01 16:15 UTC
Ligue 1
Lyon
5:2
Metz
Metz
4
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
2.0
Scored
1.0
Conceded
12
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyMarseille - Lyon
Marseille
2
matches total
Marseille: 1 (50%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Lyon: 1 (50%)
Biggest win
Lion 0:1 (31.08 18:45 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
5 goals (3:2, 22.09 18:45 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
31.08 18:45 UTC
Ligue 1
Ligue 1
Marseille
0:1
Lion
22.09 18:45 UTC
Ligue 1
Ligue 1
Marseille
3:2
Lion