Ligue 1 France

19.04.2025 19:05 UTC Match prediction

19.04.2025 19:05 UTC

Finished

Ligue 1

Marseille - Montpellier

France Futbol

Marseille

5 : 1

Finished

Montpellier

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Marseille - Montpellier 19 апреля 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Marseille.

Line favourite market consensus: Marseille. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.14 / X 9.50 / 2 19.14
1X2 market: Marseille 84.8% / X 10.2% / Montpellier 5.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.5%

1 84.8%

X 10.2%

2 5.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center

Start 19.04.2025 19:05 UTC

Match center

Marseille - Montpellier

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

X 9.50 market consensus · line only

1 1.14 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 6.40 market consensus · line only

12 1.09 market consensus · line only

1X 1.03 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	SStats Consensus
П1	1.14 87.7%
Х	9.50 10.5%
П2	19.14 5.2%

Double chance

Outcome	SStats Consensus
draw_away	6.40 15.6%
home_away	1.09 91.7%
home_draw	1.03 97.1%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	SStats Consensus
ТБ 3.5	1.85 54.1%
ТМ 3.5	2.05 48.8%

Home/Away

Outcome	SStats Consensus
П1	1.04 96.2%
П2	16.83 5.9%

Match center

Marseille

L W L W D

12.04 15:00 UTC Ligue 1

Marseille 0:3 Monaco

06.04 18:45 UTC Ligue 1

Marseille 3:2 Toulouse

27.10 19:45 UTC Ligue 1

Marseille 0:3 Paris Saint Germain

20.10 18:45 UTC Ligue 1

Marseille 5:0 Montpellier

04.10 18:45 UTC Ligue 1

Marseille 1:1 Angers

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

1.8 Scored

1.8 Conceded

7 Points

Montpellier

L L L L L

13.04 15:15 UTC Ligue 1

Montpellier 0:2 Angers

06.04 15:15 UTC Ligue 1

Montpellier 0:2 Le Havre

27.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1

Montpellier 0:3 Toulouse

20.10 18:45 UTC Ligue 1

Montpellier 0:5 Marseille

06.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1

Montpellier 2:4 Reims

0 Wins

0 Draws

5 Losses

0.4 Scored

3.2 Conceded

0 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyMarseille - Montpellier

Marseille

1 matches total

Montpellier

Marseille: 1 (100%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Montpellier: 0 (0%)

Biggest win Marseille 5:0 (20.10 18:45 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 5 goals (5:0, 20.10 18:45 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

5 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 5

Match history

20.10 18:45 UTC

Ligue 1

Marseille

5:0

Montpellier