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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
17.05.2025 19:00 UTC Match prediction
17.05.2025 19:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Marseille - Rennes

France Football
Marseille
Marseille
4 : 2
Finished
Rennes
Rennes

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Marseille - Rennes May 17, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Marseille.

Line favourite market consensus: Marseille. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.66 / X 4.41 / 2 4.97
  • 1X2 market: Marseille 58.5% / X 22.0% / Rennes 19.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.0%
1 58.5%
X 22.0%
2 19.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 17.05.2025 19:00 UTC
Match center

Marseille - Rennes

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.97 market consensus · line only
X 4.41 market consensus · line only
1 1.66 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.34 market consensus · line only
12 1.25 market consensus · line only
1X 1.21 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.66 60.2%
X 4.41 22.7%
4.97 20.1%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.34 42.7%
home_away 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 1.21 82.6%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 3.5 2.14 46.7%
Under 3.5 1.76 56.8%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.29 77.5%
3.85 26.0%
Match center
Marseille
W D W W L
10.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Marseille 3:1 Le HavreLe Havre
04.05 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Marseille 1:1 LilleLille
27.04 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Marseille 4:1 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
19.04 19:05 UTC Ligue 1
Marseille 5:1 Montpellier
12.04 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Marseille 0:3 MonacoMonaco
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.6 Scored
1.4 Conceded
10 Points
Rennes
W L L W W
10.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 2:0 NiceNice
03.05 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 1:2 ToulouseToulouse
26.04 19:05 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 1:4 LionLion
18.04 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 2:1 NantesNantes
13.04 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 5:1 Le HavreLe Havre
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
2.2 Scored
1.6 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMarseille - Rennes

Marseille
0 matches total
Rennes
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history