Match center
Start
14.02.2026 16:00 UTC
14.02.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished
Ligue 1
Marseille - Strasbourg
2
:
2
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Marseille - Strasbourg 14 февраля 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Marseille.
Line favourite market consensus: Marseille. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.89 / X 3.85 / 2 3.79
- 1X2 market: Marseille 50.2% / X 24.7% / Strasbourg 25.1%
- Total 2.5: over probability 57.5%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.3%
1
50.3%
X
24.7%
2
25.1%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.9%
Over 2.5
57.4%
Under 2.5
42.6%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Marseille - Strasbourg
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
2
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
3.79
market consensus · line only
X
3.85
market consensus · line only
1
1.90
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.92
market consensus · line only
12
1.25
market consensus · line only
1X
1.26
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.96
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.53
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
3.67
market consensus · line only
2 +1
7.07
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.66
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.24
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.28
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.58
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.96 51.0% |
| Х | 3.92 25.5% |
| П2 | 3.87 25.8% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 1.88 53.2% | 1.92 52.1% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.90 52.6% |
| Х | 3.90 25.6% | 3.90 25.6% | 3.97 25.2% | 3.70 27.0% | 3.90 25.6% | 4.00 25.0% |
| П2 | 3.55 28.2% | 3.65 27.4% | 3.97 25.2% | 3.70 27.0% | 3.75 26.7% | 4.05 24.7% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.25 44.4% | 2.31 43.3% | 2.28 43.9% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.22 45.1% | 2.38 42.0% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.37 42.2% |
| yes | 1.57 63.7% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.64 61.0% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.91 52.4% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.83 54.6% |
| home_away | 1.22 82.0% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.22 82.0% |
| home_draw | 1.25 80.0% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.22 82.0% |
Match center
Marseille
L
D
W
W
L
08.02 19:45 UTC
Ligue 1
Marseille
0:5
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
31.01 16:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Marseille
2:2
Paris FC
Paris FC
24.01 20:05 UTC
Ligue 1
Marseille
3:1
Lens
Lens
17.01 20:05 UTC
Ligue 1
Marseille
5:2
Angers
Angers
04.01 14:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Marseille
0:2
Nantes
Nantes
2
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
2.0
Scored
2.4
Conceded
7
Points
Strasbourg
L
L
W
W
D
08.02 16:15 UTC
Ligue 1
Strasbourg
1:2
Le Havre
Le Havre
01.02 19:45 UTC
Ligue 1
Strasbourg
1:2
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
25.01 19:45 UTC
Ligue 1
Strasbourg
4:1
Lille
Lille
18.01 14:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Strasbourg
2:1
Metz
Metz
03.01 18:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Strasbourg
1:1
Nice
Nice
2
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
1.8
Scored
1.4
Conceded
7
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyMarseille - Strasbourg
Marseille
2
matches total
Marseille: 1 (50%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Strasbourg: 1 (50%)
Biggest win
Marseille 2:1 (26.09 18:45 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
3 goals (2:1, 26.09 18:45 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
26.09 18:45 UTC
Ligue 1
Ligue 1
Marseille
2:1
Strasbourg
29.09 18:45 UTC
Ligue 1
Ligue 1
Marseille
0:1
Strasbourg