Match center
Start
10.05.2026 19:00 UTC
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10.05.2026 19:00 UTC
Finished
Ligue 1
Metz - Lorient
Stadium
Stade Saint-Symphorien
0
:
4
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Metz - Lorient May 10, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lorient.
Line favourite market consensus: Lorient. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.08 / X 3.59 / 2 2.21
- 1X2 market: Metz 30.8% / X 26.4% / Lorient 42.8%
- Total 2.5: over probability 57.0%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.6%
1
30.8%
X
26.4%
2
42.9%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 5.1%
Over 2.5
57.0%
Under 2.5
43.0%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Metz - Lorient
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.12
Fonbet · line only
X
6.10
Fonbet · line only
1
2.98
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.35
market consensus · line only
12
1.28
market consensus · line only
1X
1.66
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.39
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.13
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
2.16
market consensus · line only
2 +1
3.25
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.67
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.21
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.36
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.54
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.15 31.8% | 3.23 31.0% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.15 31.8% | 3.10 32.3% | |
| X | 3.60 27.8% | 3.70 27.0% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.70 27.0% | 3.55 28.2% | 3.50 28.6% |
| 2.10 47.6% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.22 45.1% | 2.20 45.5% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor | Marathonbet | Unibet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.25 44.4% | 2.37 42.2% | 2.45 40.8% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.40 41.7% | 2.38 42.0% | 2.40 41.7% | 2.34 42.7% | 2.32 43.1% |
| yes | 1.57 63.7% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.55 64.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.33 75.2% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.39 71.9% | 1.30 76.9% |
| home_away | 1.22 82.0% | 1.32 75.8% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.25 80.0% |
| home_draw | 1.70 58.8% | 1.69 59.2% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.62 61.7% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.04 96.2% | 1.00 100.0% |
| Over 0.75 | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | 1.00 100.0% |
| Over 1.25 | — | 1.10 90.9% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.22 82.0% | 1.18 84.8% |
| Over 1.75 | — | 1.23 81.3% |
| Over 2.0 | — | 1.28 78.1% |
| Over 2.25 | — | 1.54 64.9% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.70 58.8% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 2.75 36.4% | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.00 20.0% | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.00 10.0% | — |
| Under 1.5 | 4.20 23.8% | — |
| Under 2.5 | 2.10 47.6% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.44 69.4% | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.17 85.5% | — |
Match center
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L
D
L
L
D
02.05 17:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Metz
1:2
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Monaco
26.04 15:15 UTC
Ligue 1
Metz
4:4
Le Havre
Le Havre
19.04 15:15 UTC
Ligue 1
Metz
1:3
Paris FC
Paris FC
10.04 19:05 UTC
Ligue 1
Metz
1:3
Marseille
Marseille
05.04 15:15 UTC
Ligue 1
Metz
0:0
Nantes
Nantes
0
Wins
2
Draws
3
Losses
1.4
Scored
2.4
Conceded
2
Points
Lorient
D
L
W
L
D
02.05 15:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Lorient
2:2
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
26.04 13:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Lorient
2:3
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
18.04 15:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Lorient
2:0
Marseille
Marseille
12.04 18:45 UTC
Ligue 1
Lorient
0:2
Lion
Lion
05.04 15:15 UTC
Ligue 1
Lorient
1:1
Paris FC
Paris FC
1
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
1.4
Scored
1.6
Conceded
5
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyMetz - Lorient
Metz
1
matches total
Metz: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Lorient: 0 (0%)
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
2 goals (1:1, 04.01 16:15 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
1:1 (04.01 16:15 UTC)
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
04.01 16:15 UTC
Ligue 1
Ligue 1
Metz
1:1
Lorient
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