PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
09.11.2025 16:15 UTC Match prediction
09.11.2025 16:15 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Metz - Nice

France Football
Metz
Metz
2 : 1
Finished
Nice
Nice

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Metz - Nice November 9, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Nice.

Line favourite market consensus: Nice. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.06 / X 3.58 / 2 2.24
  • 1X2 market: Metz 31.1% / X 26.5% / Nice 42.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 31.0%
X 26.5%
2 42.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.8%
Over 2.5 56.4%
Under 2.5 43.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 09.11.2025 16:15 UTC
Match center

Metz - Nice

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.24 market consensus · line only
X 3.59 market consensus · line only
1 3.07 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.38 market consensus · line only
12 1.29 market consensus · line only
1X 1.67 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.39 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.13 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.18 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.31 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.69 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.19 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.34 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.56 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.22 31.1%
X 3.70 27.0%
2.24 44.6%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
3.00 33.3% 3.00 33.3% 3.18 31.5% 2.90 34.5% 3.00 33.3% 3.10 32.3%
X 3.55 28.2% 3.60 27.8% 3.72 26.9% 3.40 29.4% 3.60 27.8% 3.55 28.2%
2.24 44.6% 2.28 43.9% 2.32 43.1% 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.35 42.6% 2.46 40.7% 2.32 43.1% 2.30 43.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.35 42.6% 2.38 42.0% 2.29 43.7% 2.42 41.3%
yes 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.55 64.5% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.55 64.5% 1.53 65.4% 1.55 64.5% 1.61 62.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.38 72.5% 1.41 70.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.39 71.9% 1.41 70.9%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.32 75.8% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.29 77.5% 1.32 75.8%
home_draw 1.62 61.7% 1.68 59.5% 1.65 60.6% 1.62 61.7% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8%
Match center
Metz
W W L L L
02.11 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Metz 2:0 NantesNantes
29.10 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Metz 2:0 LensLens
26.10 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Metz 1:6 LilleLille
19.10 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Metz 0:4 ToulouseToulouse
04.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Metz 0:3 MarseilleMarseille
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.6 Conceded
6 Points
Nice
L W W W D
01.11 16:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 0:1 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
29.10 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 2:0 LilleLille
26.10 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 2:1 RennesRennes
18.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 3:2 LionLion
05.10 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 2:2 MonacoMonaco
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.2 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMetz - Nice

Metz
0 matches total
Nice
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history