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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
28.02.2026 18:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Monaco - Angers

France Football
Monaco
Monaco
2 : 0
Finished
Angers
Angers

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Monaco - Angers February 28, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Monaco.

Line favourite market consensus: Monaco. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.47 / X 4.48 / 2 6.66
  • 1X2 market: Monaco 64.5% / X 21.2% / Angers 14.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.4%
1 64.6%
X 21.2%
2 14.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.8%
Over 2.5 55.8%
Under 2.5 44.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 28.02.2026 18:00 UTC
Match center

Monaco - Angers

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.67 market consensus · line only
X 4.50 market consensus · line only
1 1.47 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.67 market consensus · line only
12 1.20 market consensus · line only
1X 1.11 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.72 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.09 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 6.60 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.48 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.71 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.16 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.90 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.84 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.48 67.6%
X 4.74 21.1%
6.82 14.7%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.44 69.4% 1.49 67.1% 1.50 66.7% 1.44 69.4% 1.48 67.6% 1.52 65.8%
X 4.20 23.8% 4.65 21.5% 4.72 21.2% 4.20 23.8% 4.33 23.1% 4.55 22.0%
7.20 13.9% 6.00 16.7% 7.21 13.9% 6.00 16.7% 7.00 14.3% 6.90 14.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.91 52.4% 1.96 51.0% 1.89 52.9% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.93 51.8% 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5% 1.95 51.3%
yes 1.80 55.6% 1.82 55.0% 1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.82 55.0% 1.87 53.5% 1.83 54.6% 1.92 52.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 2.65 37.7% 2.77 36.1% 2.50 40.0% 2.62 38.2% 2.67 37.5% 2.63 38.0%
home_away 1.17 85.5% 1.23 81.3% 1.22 82.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.21 82.6% 1.17 85.5%
home_draw 1.09 91.7% 1.12 89.3% 1.13 88.5% 1.10 90.9% 1.14 87.7% 1.08 92.6%
Match center
Monaco
W W D W D
21.02 16:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 3:2 LensLens
13.02 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 3:1 NantesNantes
08.02 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 0:0 NiceNice
31.01 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 4:0 RennesRennes
24.01 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 0:0 Le HavreLe Havre
3 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.6 Conceded
11 Points
Angers
L L W W D
22.02 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 0:1 LilleLille
15.02 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 0:2 LorientLorient
08.02 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 1:0 ToulouseToulouse
01.02 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 1:0 MetzMetz
25.01 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 0:0 Paris FCParis FC
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
0.4 Scored
0.6 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMonaco - Angers

Monaco
1 matches total
Angers
Monaco: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Angers: 0 (0%)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 18.10 17:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (18.10 17:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 1

Match history

18.10 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco
1:1
Angers