Ligue 1 France

19.04.2026 13:00 UTC Match prediction Prediction

19.04.2026 13:00 UTC

Finished

Ligue 1

Monaco - Auxerre

France Futbol

Stadium Stade Louis II

Monaco

2 : 2

Finished

Auxerre

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Monaco — 59%

1 · Monaco ✓ Прогноз59.3%

market61%

X · draw22.6%

market22%

2 · Auxerre18.1%

market17%

Model estimate: win Monaco 59.3%, draw 22.6%, win Auxerre 18.1%. Model favourite — Monaco.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Monaco - Auxerre 19 апреля 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Monaco.

Strongest: Monaco - market and Glicko agree

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.56 / X 4.30 / 2 5.47
1X2 market: Monaco 60.6% / X 22.0% / Auxerre 17.3%
Glicko: Monaco 59.3% / X 22.6% / Auxerre 18.1%
Total 2.5: over probability 48.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.6%

1 ✓ Прогноз 60.7%

X 22.0%

2 17.3%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.2%

Over 2.5 57.9%

Under 2.5 42.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model consensus

Лидер исходов AI: П1

Main outcome П1

Agreement 4/4

Confidence 60.5%

Total ТБ 2.5

Score 2:1

Модели дают единый сигнал. Такие матчи мы помечаем как более сильные.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center

Start 19.04.2026 13:00 UTC

Stadium Stade Louis II (Monaco)

? ? ??? ? ??????§? ? ??? ? ??????°? ? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ??? ??? ????????? ? ? ??? ? ? ??° ? ? ? ??? ??? ????????? ? ??? ? ??????°? ? ??? ? ????????? ? ? ??? ??? ????????? ? ??? ? ????????? ? ??? ? ? ????? ? ? ??? ? ????????? ? ??? ? ????????? ? ??? ? ??????±? ? ? ??? ? ??????? ? ??? ? ??????°? ? ??? ? ? ?????¦? ? ??? ? ??????° ? ? ??? ? ????????? ? ??? ? ??????· SStats.

🥊 Humans vs Machines

📐 Math model Monaco 59%

💹 Market Monaco 6063%

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

Match center

Monaco - Auxerre

Monaco: Победа 1.55 Monaco: Ничья 4.33 Auxerre Победа: 5.75 Общий тотал голов больше 2.5: 1.67 Общий тотал голов меньше 2.5: 2.20 Индивидуальный тотал голов Monaco больше 1.5: 1.57 Индивидуальный тотал голов Monaco меньше 1.5: 2.25 Индивидуальный тотал голов Auxerre больше 0.5: …

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 4 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Post-match / SStats

Score 2:2

Events 16

Statistics 24

Lineups 39

min Event Player Team

7' 7' Yellow Card | Maghnes Akliouche Monaco

11' 11' Normal Goal | Kévin Danois Auxerre

33' 33' Normal Goal | Lassine Sinayoko Auxerre

46' 46' Substitution 1 | Aladji Bamba | assist/sub out: Simon Adingra Monaco

54' 54' Substitution 1 | Fredrik Oppegård | assist/sub out: Josué Casimir Auxerre

56' 56' Normal Goal | Ansu Fati Monaco

59' 59' Yellow Card | Denis Zakaria Alexsandro Monaco

59' 59' Penalty | Folarin Balogun Monaco

Metric Monaco Auxerre SStats

Ожидаемые голы (xG) 2.24 0.65 final

Заблокированные удары 6 3 final

Удары мимо 3 2 final

Удары в створ 6 7 final

Удары всего 15 12 final

Фолы совершено 19 8 final

Желтые карточки 2 3 final

Офсайды 4 2 final

Monaco #1 L. Hradecky, #4 J. Teze, #5 T. Kehrer, #6 D. Zakaria, #9 F. Balogun, #11 Maghnes Akliouche, #13 C. Mawissa, #23 A. Bamba, #25 W. Faes, #27 Krépin Diatta, #31 A. Fati

Auxerre #5 K. Danois, #10 L. Sinayoko, #14 G. Mensah, #19 D. Namaso, #20 S. Diomandé, #22 F. Oppegård, #24 B. Okoh, #28 R. Faivre, #29 M. Senaya, #42 E. Owusu

Player Team Metric SStats

A. Bamba Monaco football.player.assists 0

A. Bamba Monaco Дриблинг попытки 2

A. Bamba Monaco Дриблинг успешно 2

A. Bamba Monaco Единоборства всего 2

A. Bamba Monaco Единоборства выиграно 9

A. Bamba Monaco Фолы совершено 1

A. Bamba Monaco Фолы на игроке 1

A. Bamba Monaco Сейвы 0

A. Bamba Monaco football.player.minutes_played 45

A. Bamba Monaco Точность пасов % 2

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Monaco 61.4% 59.3% market and model agree

Draw 21.7% 22.6% draw risk

Auxerre 16.8% 18.1%

xG - 1.83 : 0.90

Total 2.5 Over 48.9% - Under 51.1%

Model check - - Difference 0.02

Market vs Glicko gap: 0.02

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 59.3% / 22.6% / 18.1% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,590 / 1,455 Monaco / Auxerre

RD 75 / 76 rating uncertainty

HFA: - HFA mu: - MoV: - N: N=1 P: glicko2_expected

Best value: value не найден

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 5.47 market consensus · no value · model 18.1%

X 4.30 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 1.56 market consensus · no value · model 59.3%

Double chance

X2 2.40 market consensus · no value · model 40.7%

12 1.20 market consensus · no value · model 77.4%

1X 1.14 market consensus · no value · model 81.9%

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.44 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.89 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 5.50 market consensus · line only

2 +1 9.90 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.64 market consensus · no value · model 48.9%

Under 2.5 2.26 market consensus · value +15.4% · model 51.1%

Both teams to score

No 2.04 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.72 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
П1	1.55 64.5%	1.58 63.3%	1.62 61.7%	1.53 65.4%	1.55 64.5%	1.62 61.7%
Х	4.20 23.8%	4.35 23.0%	4.47 22.4%	4.00 25.0%	4.33 23.1%	4.45 22.5%
П2	5.40 18.5%	5.30 18.9%	5.79 17.3%	5.00 20.0%	5.75 17.4%	5.40 18.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor	Marathonbet
no	2.10 47.6%	1.97 50.8%	2.08 48.1%	2.05 48.8%	2.05 48.8%	2.12 47.2%	2.00 50.0%	2.00 50.0%	2.06 48.5%
yes	1.67 59.9%	1.81 55.3%	1.68 59.5%	1.75 57.1%	1.70 58.8%	1.67 59.9%	1.75 57.1%	1.70 58.8%	1.68 59.5%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	2.40 41.7%	2.46 40.7%	2.40 41.7%	2.38 42.0%	2.40 41.7%	2.40 41.7%
home_away	1.18 84.8%	1.25 80.0%	1.22 82.0%	1.20 83.3%	1.21 82.6%	1.17 85.5%
home_draw	1.13 88.5%	1.17 85.5%	1.14 87.7%	1.14 87.7%	1.18 84.8%	1.11 90.1%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet
ТБ 0.5	1.04 96.2%	—	1.01 99.0%
ТБ 1.0	—	—	1.01 99.0%
ТБ 1.25	—	—	1.08 92.6%
ТБ 1.5	1.20 83.3%	—	1.17 85.5%
ТБ 1.75	—	—	1.21 82.6%
ТБ 2.0	—	—	1.26 79.4%
ТБ 2.5	1.62 61.7%	—	—
ТБ 2.75	—	1.96 51.0%	—
ТБ 3.5	2.55 39.2%	—	—
ТБ 4.5	4.50 22.2%	—	—
ТМ 0.5	10.00 10.0%	—	—
ТМ 1.5	4.33 23.1%	—	—
ТМ 2.5	2.25 44.4%	—	—
ТМ 2.75	—	1.94 51.6%	—
ТМ 3.5	1.50 66.7%	—	—
ТМ 4.5	1.20 83.3%	—	—

Match center

Monaco

Founded 1919

Auxerre

Founded 1905

Match center

Monaco

L W W W W

10.04 17:00 UTC Ligue 1

Monaco 1:4 Paris FC

05.04 18:45 UTC Ligue 1

Monaco 2:1 Marseille

22.03 14:00 UTC Ligue 1

Monaco 2:1 Lion

14.03 20:05 UTC Ligue 1

Monaco 2:0 Stade Brestois 29

06.03 19:45 UTC Ligue 1

Monaco 3:1 Paris Saint Germain

4 Wins

0 Draws

1 Losses

2.0 Scored

1.4 Conceded

12 Points

Auxerre

D D W L D

11.04 17:00 UTC Ligue 1

Auxerre 0:0 Nantes

05.04 15:15 UTC Ligue 1

Auxerre 1:1 Le Havre

21.03 18:00 UTC Ligue 1

Auxerre 3:0 Stade Brestois 29

13.03 19:45 UTC Ligue 1

Auxerre 0:1 Marseille

07.03 18:00 UTC Ligue 1

Auxerre 0:0 Strasbourg

1 Wins

3 Draws

1 Losses

0.8 Scored

0.4 Conceded

6 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyMonaco - Auxerre

Monaco

2 matches total

Auxerre

Monaco: 2 (100%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Auxerre: 0 (0%)

Biggest win Monaco 3:0 (14.09 17:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 3 goals (2:1, 13.09 19:05 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

5 Goals scored 1

1 Goals conceded 5

Match history

13.09 19:05 UTC

Ligue 1

Monaco

2:1

Auxerre

14.09 17:00 UTC

Ligue 1

Monaco

3:0

Auxerre

Match center

? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??? ????????? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ? ??? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ??? ? ??? ????????? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ??? ? ??? ??????¦? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ??? ? ??? ????????? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ??? ? ??? ??????¦? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????°? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ??? ? ? ? ?? ? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ? ?? ? ? ??????? ?????????? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????°? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????±? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????»? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ? ?? ? ? ??????? ?????? ? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????° ? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??-? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????° ? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ??? ? ??? ??????¦? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????µ? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ????? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ??? ? ????????? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ? ?? ? ? ??????? ?????????? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ? ??? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??-? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ??? ? ??? ??????¦? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????°.

The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.