Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
22.09.2024 13:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Monaco - Le Havre

France Futbol
Monaco
Monaco
3 : 1
Finished
Le Havre
Le Havre

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Monaco - Le Havre 22 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Monaco.

Line favourite market consensus: Monaco. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.35 / X 5.31 / 2 9.73
  • 1X2 market: Monaco 71.8% / X 18.3% / Le Havre 10.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.2%
1 71.8%
X 18.3%
2 10.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.0%
Over 2.5 57.8%
Under 2.5 42.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 22.09.2024 13:00 UTC
Match center

Monaco - Le Havre

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.73 market consensus · line only
X 5.31 market consensus · line only
1 1.35 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.46 market consensus · line only
12 1.19 market consensus · line only
1X 1.09 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.68 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.30 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.35 74.1%
Х 5.31 18.8%
П2 9.73 10.3%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 3.46 28.9%
home_away 1.19 84.0%
home_draw 1.09 91.7%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.68 59.5%
ТМ 2.5 2.30 43.5%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.11 90.1%
П2 7.87 12.7%
Match center
Monaco
W D
14.09 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 3:0 AuxerreAuxerre
01.09 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 1:1 LensLens
1 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.5 Conceded
4 Points
Le Havre
L W
15.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 0:2 ToulouseToulouse
01.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 3:1 AuxerreAuxerre
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.5 Scored
1.5 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMonaco - Le Havre

Monaco
0 matches total
Le Havre
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history