Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
16.08.2025 17:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Monaco - Le Havre

France Futbol
Monaco
Monaco
3 : 1
Finished
Le Havre
Le Havre

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Monaco - Le Havre 16 августа 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Monaco.

Line favourite Fonbet: Monaco. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.24 / X 6.90 / 2 12.00
  • 1X2 market: Monaco 78.0% / X 14.0% / Le Havre 8.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 65.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.5%
1 77.9%
X 14.0%
2 8.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.3%
Over 2.5 65.5%
Under 2.5 34.5%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 16.08.2025 17:00 UTC
Match center

Monaco - Le Havre

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 6.90 Fonbet · line only
1 1.24 Fonbet · line only
2 9.00 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 4.30 Fonbet · line only
12 1.11 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.03 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.81 market consensus · line only
2 -1 3.50 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 8.15 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.28 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.45 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.75 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.93 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.87 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.23 81.3%
Х 7.00 14.3%
П2 12.72 7.9%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 1.21 82.6% 1.22 82.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.26 79.4%
Х 6.60 15.2% 6.80 14.7% 6.92 14.5% 6.00 16.7% 7.00 14.3% 6.90 14.5%
П2 12.00 8.3% 11.50 8.7% 12.00 8.3% 11.00 9.1% 11.00 9.1% 11.75 8.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Betway Bwin
no 1.85 54.1% 1.86 53.8% 1.93 51.8% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6%
yes 1.85 54.1% 1.92 52.1% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.95 51.3% 1.90 52.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betway
draw_away 4.20 23.8% 4.30 23.3% 4.20 23.8% 4.00 25.0% 4.15 24.1% 4.20 23.8%
home_away 1.10 90.9% 1.12 89.3% 1.13 88.5% 1.10 90.9% 1.12 89.3% 1.11 90.1%
home_draw 1.04 96.2% 1.06 94.3% 1.05 95.2% 1.05 95.2% 1.07 93.5% 1.04 96.2%
Match center
Monaco
L W W D D
17.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 0:4 LensLens
10.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 2:0 LionLion
03.05 19:05 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 3:1 Saint EtienneSaint Etienne
26.04 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 1:1 Le HavreLe Havre
19.04 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 0:0 StrasbourgStrasbourg
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.2 Conceded
8 Points
Le Havre
W L W D L
17.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 3:2 StrasbourgStrasbourg
10.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 1:3 MarseilleMarseille
04.05 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 2:1 AuxerreAuxerre
26.04 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 1:1 MonacoMonaco
19.04 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 1:2 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.8 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMonaco - Le Havre

Monaco
2 matches total
Le Havre
Monaco: 1 (50%)
Draws:1 (50%)
Le Havre: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Monaco 3:1 (22.09 13:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (3:1, 22.09 13:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (26.04 17:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

4 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 4

Match history

26.04 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco
1:1
Le Havre
22.09 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco
3:1
Le Havre