Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
01.09.2024 13:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Monaco - Lens

France Futbol
Monaco
Monaco
1 : 1
Finished
Lens
Lens

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Monaco - Lens 1 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Monaco.

Line favourite market consensus: Monaco. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.79 / X 4.03 / 2 4.48
  • 1X2 market: Monaco 54.2% / X 24.1% / Lens 21.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 58.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.0%
1 54.2%
X 24.1%
2 21.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.0%
Over 2.5 58.1%
Under 2.5 41.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 01.09.2024 13:00 UTC
Match center

Monaco - Lens

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.48 market consensus · line only
X 4.03 market consensus · line only
1 1.79 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.03 market consensus · line only
12 1.30 market consensus · line only
1X 1.26 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.67 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.32 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.79 55.9%
Х 4.03 24.8%
П2 4.48 22.3%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.03 49.3%
home_away 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.26 79.4%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.67 59.9%
ТМ 2.5 2.32 43.1%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.36 73.5%
П2 3.37 29.7%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMonaco - Lens

Monaco
0 matches total
Lens
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history