Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
08.11.2025 20:05 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Monaco - Lens

France Futbol
Monaco
Monaco
1 : 4
Finished
Lens
Lens

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Monaco - Lens 8 ноября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Monaco.

Line favourite market consensus: Monaco. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.99 / X 3.84 / 2 3.44
  • 1X2 market: Monaco 47.6% / X 24.8% / Lens 27.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 62.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.4%
1 47.7%
X 24.7%
2 27.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.8%
Over 2.5 62.6%
Under 2.5 37.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 08.11.2025 20:05 UTC
Match center

Monaco - Lens

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.45 market consensus · line only
X 3.84 market consensus · line only
1 1.99 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.82 market consensus · line only
12 1.25 market consensus · line only
1X 1.31 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.87 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.46 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.36 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.89 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.51 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.53 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.57 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.47 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.02 49.5%
Х 3.89 25.7%
П2 3.63 27.6%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 1.99 50.3% 1.98 50.5% 2.04 49.0% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.98 50.5%
Х 3.85 26.0% 4.00 25.0% 3.97 25.2% 3.70 27.0% 4.00 25.0% 3.85 26.0%
П2 3.35 29.9% 3.40 29.4% 3.46 28.9% 3.40 29.4% 3.40 29.4% 3.50 28.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.55 39.2% 2.71 36.9% 2.54 39.4% 2.50 40.0% 2.50 40.0% 2.55 39.2% 2.50 40.0% 2.57 38.9% 2.73 36.6%
yes 1.45 69.0% 1.45 69.0% 1.52 65.8% 1.44 69.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.47 68.0% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.50 66.7%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.77 56.5% 1.82 55.0% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1%
home_away 1.20 83.3% 1.27 78.7% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1%
home_draw 1.30 76.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.33 75.2% 1.32 75.8%
Match center
Monaco
L W W D D
01.11 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 0:1 Paris FCParis FC
29.10 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 5:3 NantesNantes
25.10 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 1:0 ToulouseToulouse
18.10 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 1:1 AngersAngers
05.10 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 2:2 NiceNice
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
8 Points
Lens
W L W W W
02.11 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 3:0 LorientLorient
29.10 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 0:2 MetzMetz
25.10 19:05 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 2:1 MarseilleMarseille
19.10 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 2:1 Paris FCParis FC
04.10 19:05 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 2:1 AuxerreAuxerre
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.0 Conceded
12 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMonaco - Lens

Monaco
2 matches total
Lens
Monaco: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (50%)
Lens: 1 (50%)
Biggest win Lens 0:4 (17.05 19:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (0:4, 17.05 19:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (01.09 13:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 5
5 Goals conceded 1

Match history

17.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco
0:4
Lens
01.09 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco
1:1
Lens