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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
18.10.2024 18:45 UTC Match prediction
18.10.2024 18:45 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Monaco - Lille

France Futbol
Monaco
Monaco
0 : 0
Finished
Lille
Lille

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Monaco - Lille 18 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Monaco.

Line favourite market consensus: Monaco. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.15 / X 3.62 / 2 3.49
  • 1X2 market: Monaco 45.3% / X 26.9% / Lille 27.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.8%
1 45.2%
X 26.9%
2 27.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.8%
Over 2.5 57.5%
Under 2.5 42.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 18.10.2024 18:45 UTC
Match center

Monaco - Lille

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.49 market consensus · line only
X 3.62 market consensus · line only
1 2.15 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.76 market consensus · line only
12 1.33 market consensus · line only
1X 1.35 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.69 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.29 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.15 46.5%
Х 3.62 27.6%
П2 3.49 28.7%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.76 56.8%
home_away 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.35 74.1%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.69 59.2%
ТМ 2.5 2.29 43.7%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.56 64.1%
П2 2.55 39.2%
Match center
Monaco
W W W W D
05.10 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 2:1 RennesRennes
28.09 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 2:1 Montpellier
22.09 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 3:1 Le HavreLe Havre
14.09 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 3:0 AuxerreAuxerre
01.09 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 1:1 LensLens
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.2 Scored
0.8 Conceded
13 Points
Lille
W W D L L
05.10 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 2:1 ToulouseToulouse
28.09 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 3:0 Le HavreLe Havre
21.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 3:3 StrasbourgStrasbourg
13.09 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 0:1 Saint EtienneSaint Etienne
01.09 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 1:3 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.6 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMonaco - Lille

Monaco
0 matches total
Lille
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history