Ligue 1 France

33-й тур 10.05.2026 19:00 UTC Match prediction

10.05.2026 19:00 UTC 33-й тур

Finished

Ligue 1

Monaco - Lille

France Futbol

Stadium Stade Louis II

Monaco

0 : 1

Finished

Lille

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Monaco - Lille 10 мая 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Monaco.

Line favourite market consensus: Monaco. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.53 / X 3.64 / 2 2.59
1X2 market: Monaco 37.4% / X 26.0% / Lille 36.6%
Total 2.5: over probability 58.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.6%

1 37.4%

X 26.0%

2 36.6%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.2%

Over 2.5 57.9%

Under 2.5 42.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Stadium Луи II (Монако, Монако), вместимость: 18523

Referee Клеман Тюрпен (Уллен, Франция)

Start 10.05.2026 19:00 UTC

Match center

Monaco - Lille

Итоговый протокол и результаты встречи Монако - Лилль, 10 мая 2026. Обзор и статистика матча, точный счет. Чемпионат Франции по футболу (Лига 1) 2025-2026, 33-й тур. Монако - Лилль, кто победил, онлайн трансляция матча.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.10 Fonbet · line only

X 6.30 Fonbet · line only

1 2.55 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.50 market consensus · line only

12 1.27 market consensus · line only

1X 1.48 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.52 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.24 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 2.53 market consensus · line only

2 +1 4.17 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.64 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.26 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.44 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.51 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
П1	2.40 41.7%	2.66 37.6%	2.45 40.8%	2.55 39.2%	2.62 38.2%	2.50 40.0%
Х	3.70 27.0%	3.78 26.5%	3.50 28.6%	3.75 26.7%	3.55 28.2%	3.60 27.8%
П2	2.60 38.5%	2.67 37.5%	2.50 40.0%	2.55 39.2%	2.60 38.5%	2.60 38.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor	Marathonbet	Unibet
no	2.38 42.0%	2.37 42.2%	2.50 40.0%	2.38 42.0%	2.37 42.2%	2.50 40.0%	2.45 40.8%	2.36 42.4%	2.55 39.2%
yes	1.53 65.4%	1.53 65.4%	1.50 66.7%	1.53 65.4%	1.55 64.5%	1.50 66.7%	1.47 68.0%	1.52 65.8%	1.47 68.0%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	1.55 64.5%	1.54 64.9%	1.50 66.7%	1.50 66.7%	1.52 65.8%	1.44 69.4%
home_away	1.22 82.0%	1.31 76.3%	1.29 77.5%	1.25 80.0%	1.29 77.5%	1.25 80.0%
home_draw	1.48 67.6%	1.54 64.9%	1.44 69.4%	1.50 66.7%	1.53 65.4%	1.44 69.4%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet
ТБ 0.5	1.03 97.1%	1.01 99.0%
ТБ 1.0	—	1.01 99.0%
ТБ 1.25	—	1.09 91.7%
ТБ 1.5	1.20 83.3%	1.18 84.8%
ТБ 1.75	—	1.23 81.3%
ТБ 2.0	—	1.28 78.1%
ТБ 2.25	—	1.54 64.9%
ТБ 2.5	1.62 61.7%	1.73 57.8%
ТБ 3.5	2.60 38.5%	—
ТБ 4.5	4.75 21.1%	—
ТМ 0.5	11.00 9.1%	—
ТМ 1.5	4.50 22.2%	—
ТМ 2.5	2.25 44.4%	—
ТМ 3.5	1.48 67.6%	—
ТМ 4.5	1.18 84.8%	—

Match center

Monaco

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

Lille

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

Такуми Минамино Мохаммед Салису Вандерсон Станис Идумбо-Музамбо Кассум Уаттара Парис Бруннер Травмированные Марк-Ореле Кайар Мариус Брохольм Хамза Игамане Ноа Эджума

Match center

Monaco

W D D L W

02.05 17:00 UTC Ligue 1

Monaco 2:1 Metz

25.04 19:05 UTC Ligue 1

Monaco 2:2 Toulouse

19.04 13:00 UTC Ligue 1

Monaco 2:2 Auxerre

10.04 17:00 UTC Ligue 1

Monaco 1:4 Paris FC

05.04 18:45 UTC Ligue 1

Monaco 2:1 Marseille

2 Wins

2 Draws

1 Losses

1.8 Scored

2.0 Conceded

8 Points

Lille

D W D W W

03.05 13:00 UTC Ligue 1

Lille 1:1 Le Havre

26.04 15:15 UTC Ligue 1

Lille 1:0 Paris FC

18.04 19:05 UTC Ligue 1

Lille 0:0 Nice

12.04 15:15 UTC Ligue 1

Lille 4:0 Toulouse

04.04 19:05 UTC Ligue 1

Lille 3:0 Lens

3 Wins

2 Draws

0 Losses

1.8 Scored

0.2 Conceded

11 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyMonaco - Lille

Monaco

2 matches total

Lille

Monaco: 0 (0%)

Draws:1 (50%)

Lille: 1 (50%)

Biggest win Lille 0:1 (24.08 18:45 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 1 goals (0:1, 24.08 18:45 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 0:0 (18.10 18:45 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 1

1 Goals conceded 0

Match history

24.08 18:45 UTC

Ligue 1

Monaco

0:1

Lille

18.10 18:45 UTC

Ligue 1

Monaco

0:0

Lille

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Monaco

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Lille

32 Игры 32

16 Победы 17

6 Ничьи 7

10 Поражения 8

56 Забито 51

48 Пропущено 35

54 Очки 58

106.58 Атаки 106.34

51.77 Опасные атаки 55.97

0 Голевые моменты 0

11.59 Удары по воротам 13.66

4.31 Удары в створ 4.81

ния 2.22 0.19 Удаления 0.16 Голы Денис Закария 0:1 72' Наказания Айюб Буадди 23' Матиас Фернандес 54' Гаэтан Перрен 75' Мамаду Кулибали 79' VAR Джордан Тезе 17'

Монако Лилль 32 Игры 32 16 Победы 17 6 Ничьи 7 10 Поражения 8 56 Забито 51 48 Пропущено 35 54 Очки 58 106.58 Атаки 106.34 51.77 Опасные атаки 55.97 0 Голевые моменты 0 11.59 Удары по воротам 13.66 4.31 Удары в створ 4.81 0 Штанги/перекладины 0 4.84 Угловые 5.88 2.16 Оффсайды 1.31 12.84 Фолы 10.81 53.38 % владения мячом 55.84 2.13 Предупреждения 2.22 0.19 Удаления 0.16 Голы Денис Закария 0:1 72' Наказания Айюб Буадди 23' Матиас Фернандес 54' Гаэтан Перрен 75' Мамаду Кулибали 79' VAR Джордан Тезе 17'