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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
12.04.2025 15:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Monaco - Marseille

France Football
Monaco
Monaco
3 : 0
Finished
Marseille
Marseille

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Monaco - Marseille April 12, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Monaco.

Line favourite market consensus: Monaco. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.04 / X 3.91 / 2 3.46
  • 1X2 market: Monaco 47.4% / X 24.7% / Marseille 27.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.5%
1 47.4%
X 24.7%
2 27.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 12.04.2025 15:00 UTC
Match center

Monaco - Marseille

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.46 market consensus · line only
X 3.91 market consensus · line only
1 2.04 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.84 market consensus · line only
12 1.28 market consensus · line only
1X 1.34 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.04 49.0%
X 3.91 25.6%
3.46 28.9%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.84 54.4%
home_away 1.28 78.1%
home_draw 1.34 74.6%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 3.5 2.30 43.5%
Under 3.5 1.67 59.9%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.53 65.4%
2.60 38.5%
Match center
Monaco
L L D W W
05.04 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 1:2 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
27.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 1:2 NiceNice
18.10 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 0:0 LilleLille
05.10 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 2:1 RennesRennes
28.09 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 2:1 Montpellier
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.2 Conceded
7 Points
Marseille
W L W D L
06.04 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Marseille 3:2 ToulouseToulouse
27.10 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Marseille 0:3 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
20.10 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Marseille 5:0 Montpellier
04.10 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Marseille 1:1 AngersAngers
29.09 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Marseille 0:1 StrasbourgStrasbourg
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMonaco - Marseille

Monaco
0 matches total
Marseille
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history