Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
28.09.2024 19:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Monaco - Montpellier

France Futbol
Monaco
Monaco
2 : 1
Finished
Montpellier
Montpellier

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Monaco - Montpellier 28 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Monaco.

Line favourite market consensus: Monaco. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.28 / X 6.44 / 2 9.97
  • 1X2 market: Monaco 75.4% / X 15.0% / Montpellier 9.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.7%
1 75.3%
X 15.0%
2 9.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 28.09.2024 19:00 UTC
Match center

Monaco - Montpellier

Form 3/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.97 market consensus · line only
X 6.44 market consensus · line only
1 1.28 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.89 market consensus · line only
12 1.14 market consensus · line only
1X 1.08 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.28 78.1%
Х 6.44 15.5%
П2 9.97 10.0%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 3.89 25.7%
home_away 1.14 87.7%
home_draw 1.08 92.6%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 3.5 1.77 56.5%
ТМ 3.5 2.12 47.2%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.10 90.9%
П2 8.37 12.0%
Match center
Monaco
W W D
22.09 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 3:1 Le HavreLe Havre
14.09 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 3:0 AuxerreAuxerre
01.09 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 1:1 LensLens
2 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.3 Scored
0.7 Conceded
7 Points
Montpellier
W L
22.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Montpellier 3:2 AuxerreAuxerre
15.09 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Montpellier 0:3 RennesRennes
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.5 Scored
2.5 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMonaco - Montpellier

Monaco
0 matches total
Montpellier
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history