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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
01.11.2025 18:00 UTC Match prediction
01.11.2025 18:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Monaco - Paris FC

France Football
Monaco
Monaco
0 : 1
Finished
Paris FC
Paris FC

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Monaco - Paris FC November 1, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Monaco.

Line favourite market consensus: Monaco. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.66 / X 4.24 / 2 4.98
  • 1X2 market: Monaco 58.0% / X 22.7% / Paris FC 19.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 60.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.9%
1 58.0%
X 22.7%
2 19.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.7%
Over 2.5 60.3%
Under 2.5 39.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 01.11.2025 18:00 UTC
Match center

Monaco - Paris FC

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.99 market consensus · line only
X 4.25 market consensus · line only
1 1.66 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.28 market consensus · line only
12 1.25 market consensus · line only
1X 1.19 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.32 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.78 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.65 market consensus · line only
2 +1 9.90 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.57 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.38 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.27 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.60 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.67 59.9%
X 4.25 23.5%
5.02 19.9%

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus
1.63 61.4% 1.69 59.2% 1.62 61.7% 1.66 60.2% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9%
X 4.35 23.0% 4.36 22.9% 4.20 23.8% 4.30 23.3% 4.25 23.5% 4.25 23.5%
4.75 21.1% 5.17 19.3% 5.00 20.0% 5.10 19.6% 5.02 19.9% 5.02 19.9%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle William Hill
no 2.25 44.4% 2.26 44.3% 2.20 45.5% 2.23 44.8% 2.37 42.2% 2.30 43.5%
yes 1.63 61.4% 1.58 63.3% 1.62 61.7% 1.58 63.3% 1.64 61.0% 1.57 63.7%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus William Hill
draw_away 2.31 43.3% 2.20 45.5% 2.34 42.7% 2.32 43.1% 2.32 43.1% 2.20 45.5%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.26 79.4% 1.26 79.4% 1.22 82.0%
home_draw 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.20 83.3% 1.20 83.3% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8%
Match center
Monaco
W W D D L
29.10 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 5:3 NantesNantes
25.10 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 1:0 ToulouseToulouse
18.10 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 1:1 AngersAngers
05.10 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 2:2 NiceNice
27.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 1:3 LorientLorient
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.8 Conceded
8 Points
Paris FC
D L L W D
29.10 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC 3:3 LionLion
24.10 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC 1:2 NantesNantes
19.10 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC 1:2 LensLens
03.10 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC 2:0 LorientLorient
28.09 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC 1:1 NiceNice
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.6 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMonaco - Paris FC

Monaco
0 matches total
Paris FC
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history