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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
29.11.2025 16:00 UTC Match prediction
29.11.2025 16:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Monaco - Paris Saint Germain

France Football
Monaco
Monaco
1 : 0
Finished
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Monaco - Paris Saint Germain November 29, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Paris Saint Germain.

Line favourite market consensus: Paris Saint Germain. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.51 / X 4.41 / 2 1.66
  • 1X2 market: Monaco 21.1% / X 21.6% / Paris Saint Germain 57.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 68.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 21.1%
X 21.6%
2 57.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.6%
Over 2.5 68.9%
Under 2.5 31.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 29.11.2025 16:00 UTC
Match center

Monaco - Paris Saint Germain

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.66 market consensus · line only
X 4.41 market consensus · line only
1 4.52 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.21 market consensus · line only
12 1.21 market consensus · line only
1X 2.22 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.20 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.04 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.64 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.08 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.36 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 3.02 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.78 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.41 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
4.68 21.4%
X 4.50 22.2%
1.67 59.9%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
4.45 22.5% 4.25 23.5% 4.66 21.5% 4.50 22.2% 4.50 22.2% 4.70 21.3%
X 4.33 23.1% 4.60 21.7% 4.61 21.7% 4.20 23.8% 4.33 23.1% 4.45 22.5%
1.66 60.2% 1.67 59.9% 1.71 58.5% 1.62 61.7% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.80 35.7% 2.85 35.1% 2.73 36.6% 2.80 35.7% 2.75 36.4% 2.77 36.1% 2.80 35.7% 2.65 37.7% 2.89 34.6%
yes 1.38 72.5% 1.41 70.9% 1.41 70.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.42 70.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.42 70.4% 1.45 69.0%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.20 83.3% 1.23 81.3% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.23 81.3% 1.22 82.0%
home_away 1.17 85.5% 1.24 80.7% 1.22 82.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.22 82.0% 1.23 81.3%
home_draw 2.15 46.5% 2.26 44.3% 2.25 44.4% 2.15 46.5% 2.22 45.1% 2.25 44.4%
Match center
Monaco
L L L W W
22.11 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 1:4 RennesRennes
08.11 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 1:4 LensLens
01.11 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 0:1 Paris FCParis FC
29.10 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 5:3 NantesNantes
25.10 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 1:0 ToulouseToulouse
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.6 Scored
2.4 Conceded
6 Points
Paris Saint Germain
W W W D W
22.11 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 3:0 Le HavreLe Havre
09.11 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 3:2 LionLion
01.11 16:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 1:0 NiceNice
29.10 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 1:1 LorientLorient
25.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 3:0 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.2 Scored
0.6 Conceded
13 Points