Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
31.01.2026 20:05 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Monaco - Rennes

France Futbol
Monaco
Monaco
4 : 0
Finished
Rennes
Rennes

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Monaco - Rennes 31 января 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Monaco.

Line favourite market consensus: Monaco. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.94 / X 3.90 / 2 3.53
  • 1X2 market: Monaco 48.8% / X 24.3% / Rennes 26.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 64.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.5%
1 48.9%
X 24.3%
2 26.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.1%
Over 2.5 64.1%
Under 2.5 35.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 31.01.2026 20:05 UTC
Match center

Monaco - Rennes

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.54 market consensus · line only
X 3.90 market consensus · line only
1 1.94 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.88 market consensus · line only
12 1.25 market consensus · line only
1X 1.29 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.91 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.51 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.49 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.83 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.47 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.63 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.65 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.44 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.99 50.3%
Х 3.98 25.1%
П2 3.63 27.6%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 1.90 52.6% 1.97 50.8% 1.94 51.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.93 51.8%
Х 3.85 26.0% 4.05 24.7% 4.08 24.5% 3.70 27.0% 3.90 25.6% 3.90 25.6%
П2 3.55 28.2% 3.35 29.9% 3.67 27.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.50 28.6% 3.60 27.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.62 38.2% 2.74 36.5% 2.68 37.3% 2.50 40.0% 2.62 38.2% 2.65 37.7% 2.70 37.0% 2.62 38.2% 2.85 35.1%
yes 1.42 70.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.48 67.6% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.45 69.0% 1.40 71.4% 1.43 69.9% 1.46 68.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.85 54.1% 1.90 52.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6% 1.88 53.2%
home_away 1.20 83.3% 1.26 79.4% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1%
home_draw 1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.29 77.5% 1.28 78.1% 1.31 76.3% 1.32 75.8%
Match center
Monaco
D L L L L
24.01 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 0:0 Le HavreLe Havre
16.01 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 1:3 LorientLorient
03.01 16:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 1:3 LionLion
14.12 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 0:1 MarseilleMarseille
05.12 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 0:1 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
0 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
0.4 Scored
1.6 Conceded
1 Points
Rennes
L D W W L
24.01 16:00 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 0:2 LorientLorient
18.01 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 1:1 Le HavreLe Havre
03.01 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 2:0 LilleLille
13.12 16:00 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 3:1 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
06.12 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 0:5 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.8 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMonaco - Rennes

Monaco
2 matches total
Rennes
Monaco: 1 (50%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Rennes: 1 (50%)
Biggest win Rennes 1:4 (22.11 18:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 5 goals (1:4, 22.11 18:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 5
5 Goals conceded 3

Match history

22.11 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco
1:4
Rennes
05.10 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco
2:1
Rennes