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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
14.03.2026 20:05 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Monaco - Stade Brestois 29

France Football
Monaco
Monaco
2 : 0
Finished
Stade Brestois 29
Stade Brestois 29

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Monaco - Stade Brestois 29 March 14, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Monaco.

Line favourite market consensus: Monaco. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.60 / X 4.21 / 2 5.41
  • 1X2 market: Monaco 59.6% / X 22.7% / Stade Brestois 29 17.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.7%
1 59.7%
X 22.7%
2 17.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.4%
Over 2.5 57.0%
Under 2.5 43.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 14.03.2026 20:05 UTC
Match center

Monaco - Stade Brestois 29

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.44 market consensus · line only
X 4.22 market consensus · line only
1 1.60 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.38 market consensus · line only
12 1.24 market consensus · line only
1X 1.17 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.42 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.86 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.80 market consensus · line only
2 +1 9.01 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.68 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.23 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.10 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.71 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.60 62.5%
X 4.29 23.3%
5.64 17.7%

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus
1.61 62.1% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.61 62.1% 1.60 62.5% 1.60 62.5%
X 4.25 23.5% 4.22 23.7% 4.10 24.4% 4.33 23.1% 4.29 23.3% 4.29 23.3%
5.10 19.6% 5.67 17.6% 5.25 19.1% 5.55 18.0% 5.64 17.7% 5.64 17.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle William Hill
no 2.18 45.9% 2.10 47.6% 2.00 50.0% 2.04 49.0% 2.16 46.3% 2.10 47.6%
yes 1.66 60.2% 1.74 57.5% 1.75 57.1% 1.69 59.2% 1.75 57.1% 1.67 59.9%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus William Hill
draw_away 2.37 42.2% 2.25 44.4% 2.41 41.5% 2.46 40.7% 2.46 40.7% 2.30 43.5%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0%
home_draw 1.16 86.2% 1.17 85.5% 1.17 85.5% 1.18 84.8% 1.18 84.8% 1.17 85.5%
Match center
Monaco
W W W W D
06.03 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 3:1 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
28.02 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 2:0 AngersAngers
21.02 16:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 3:2 LensLens
13.02 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 3:1 NantesNantes
08.02 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 0:0 NiceNice
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.2 Scored
0.8 Conceded
13 Points
Stade Brestois 29
W W W D W
08.03 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 2:0 Le HavreLe Havre
01.03 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 1:0 MetzMetz
20.02 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 2:0 MarseilleMarseille
14.02 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 1:1 LilleLille
07.02 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 2:0 LorientLorient
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.6 Scored
0.2 Conceded
13 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMonaco - Stade Brestois 29

Monaco
2 matches total
Stade Brestois 29
Monaco: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Stade Brestois 29: 2 (100%)
Biggest win Stade Brestois 29 0:1 (05.12 18:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (1:2, 05.04 17:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 1

Match history

05.12 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco
0:1
Stade Brestois 29
05.04 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco
1:2
Stade Brestois 29