Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
31.08.2025 15:15 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Monaco - Strasbourg

France Football
Monaco
Monaco
3 : 2
Finished
Strasbourg
Strasbourg

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Monaco - Strasbourg August 31, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Monaco.

Line favourite market consensus: Monaco. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.54 / X 4.58 / 2 5.51
  • 1X2 market: Monaco 61.9% / X 20.8% / Strasbourg 17.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 60.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%
1 61.9%
X 20.8%
2 17.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.8%
Over 2.5 60.8%
Under 2.5 39.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 31.08.2025 15:15 UTC
Match center

Monaco - Strasbourg

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.53 market consensus · line only
X 4.59 market consensus · line only
1 1.54 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.50 market consensus · line only
12 1.20 market consensus · line only
1X 1.15 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.56 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.98 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 5.20 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.52 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.57 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.43 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.15 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.66 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.54 64.9%
X 4.74 21.1%
5.86 17.1%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.53 65.4% 1.59 62.9% 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7%
X 4.50 22.2% 4.50 22.2% 4.82 20.8% 4.33 23.1% 4.75 21.1% 4.65 21.5%
5.50 18.2% 5.00 20.0% 5.89 17.0% 5.00 20.0% 5.50 18.2% 5.70 17.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.15 46.5% 2.17 46.1% 2.13 47.0% 2.15 46.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.15 46.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.12 47.2% 2.21 45.3%
yes 1.62 61.7% 1.67 59.9% 1.65 60.6% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.65 60.6% 1.60 62.5% 1.64 61.0% 1.70 58.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 2.45 40.8% 2.58 38.8% 2.40 41.7% 2.50 40.0% 2.50 40.0% 2.59 38.6%
home_away 1.15 87.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.18 84.8% 1.20 83.3% 1.21 82.6%
home_draw 1.14 87.7% 1.17 85.5% 1.17 85.5% 1.14 87.7% 1.17 85.5% 1.16 86.2%
Match center
Monaco
L W L W W
24.08 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 0:1 LilleLille
16.08 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 3:1 Le HavreLe Havre
17.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 0:4 LensLens
10.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 2:0 LionLion
03.05 19:05 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 3:1 Saint EtienneSaint Etienne
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.4 Conceded
9 Points
Strasbourg
W W L L W
24.08 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 1:0 NantesNantes
17.08 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 1:0 MetzMetz
17.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 2:3 Le HavreLe Havre
10.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 1:2 AngersAngers
03.05 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 2:1 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.2 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMonaco - Strasbourg

Monaco
1 matches total
Strasbourg
Monaco: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Strasbourg: 0 (0%)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 0:0 (19.04 17:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

19.04 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco
0:0
Strasbourg