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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
25.10.2025 17:00 UTC Match prediction
25.10.2025 17:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Monaco - Toulouse

France Football
Monaco
Monaco
1 : 0
Finished
Toulouse
Toulouse

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Monaco - Toulouse October 25, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Monaco.

Line favourite market consensus: Monaco. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.96 / X 3.75 / 2 3.73
  • 1X2 market: Monaco 48.8% / X 25.5% / Toulouse 25.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.5%
1 48.8%
X 25.5%
2 25.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.9%
Over 2.5 57.8%
Under 2.5 42.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 25.10.2025 17:00 UTC
Match center

Monaco - Toulouse

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.72 market consensus · line only
X 3.74 market consensus · line only
1 1.97 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.88 market consensus · line only
12 1.26 market consensus · line only
1X 1.28 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.89 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.48 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.69 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.60 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.65 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.26 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.32 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.57 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.09 47.9%
X 3.69 27.1%
3.59 27.9%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.87 53.5% 2.08 48.1% 2.02 49.5% 1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6% 2.07 48.3%
X 3.75 26.7% 3.65 27.4% 3.86 25.9% 3.70 27.0% 3.75 26.7% 3.75 26.7%
3.85 26.0% 3.40 29.4% 3.84 26.0% 3.70 27.0% 3.90 25.6% 3.65 27.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.25 44.4% 2.45 40.8% 2.32 43.1% 2.25 44.4% 2.20 45.5% 2.37 42.2% 2.38 42.0% 2.29 43.7% 2.53 39.5%
yes 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.55 64.5% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.55 64.5% 1.53 65.4% 1.55 64.5% 1.56 64.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.93 51.8% 1.88 53.2% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.82 55.0% 1.89 52.9%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.22 82.0% 1.31 76.3% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.32 75.8% 1.30 76.9%
Match center
Monaco
D D L W W
18.10 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 1:1 AngersAngers
05.10 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 2:2 NiceNice
27.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 1:3 LorientLorient
21.09 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 5:2 MetzMetz
13.09 19:05 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 2:1 AuxerreAuxerre
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
2.2 Scored
1.8 Conceded
8 Points
Toulouse
W W D L L
19.10 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Toulouse 4:0 MetzMetz
05.10 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Toulouse 2:1 LionLion
27.09 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Toulouse 2:2 NantesNantes
21.09 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Toulouse 0:1 AuxerreAuxerre
14.09 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Toulouse 1:2 LilleLille
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.2 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMonaco - Toulouse

Monaco
0 matches total
Toulouse
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history