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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
20.10.2024 18:45 UTC Match prediction
20.10.2024 18:45 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Montpellier - Marseille

France Futbol
Montpellier
Montpellier
0 : 5
Finished
Marseille
Marseille

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Montpellier - Marseille 20 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Marseille.

Line favourite market consensus: Marseille. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.46 / X 4.05 / 2 1.79
  • 1X2 market: Montpellier 21.8% / X 24.0% / Marseille 54.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.0%
1 21.8%
X 24.0%
2 54.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 20.10.2024 18:45 UTC
Match center

Montpellier - Marseille

Form 4/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.79 market consensus · line only
X 4.05 market consensus · line only
1 4.46 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.24 market consensus · line only
12 1.28 market consensus · line only
1X 2.13 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 4.46 22.4%
Х 4.05 24.7%
П2 1.79 55.9%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.24 80.7%
home_away 1.28 78.1%
home_draw 2.13 47.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 3.5 2.36 42.4%
ТМ 3.5 1.64 61.0%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 3.36 29.8%
П2 1.36 73.5%
Match center
Montpellier
L L W L
06.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Montpellier 2:4 Reims
28.09 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Montpellier 1:2 MonacoMonaco
22.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Montpellier 3:2 AuxerreAuxerre
15.09 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Montpellier 0:3 RennesRennes
1 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.5 Scored
2.8 Conceded
3 Points
Marseille
D L W W
04.10 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Marseille 1:1 AngersAngers
29.09 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Marseille 0:1 StrasbourgStrasbourg
22.09 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Marseille 3:2 LionLion
14.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Marseille 2:0 NiceNice
2 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.5 Scored
1.0 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMontpellier - Marseille

Montpellier
0 matches total
Marseille
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history