Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
04.05.2025 13:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Nantes - Angers

France Futbol
Nantes
Nantes
0 : 1
Finished
Angers
Angers

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nantes - Angers 4 мая 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Nantes.

Line favourite market consensus: Nantes. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.91 / X 3.43 / 2 4.53
  • 1X2 market: Nantes 50.6% / X 28.1% / Angers 21.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.6%
1 50.5%
X 28.1%
2 21.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.3%
Over 2.5 45.6%
Under 2.5 54.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.05.2025 13:00 UTC
Match center

Nantes - Angers

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.53 market consensus · line only
X 3.43 market consensus · line only
1 1.91 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.96 market consensus · line only
12 1.34 market consensus · line only
1X 1.23 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.12 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.78 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.91 52.4%
Х 3.43 29.2%
П2 4.53 22.1%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.96 51.0%
home_away 1.34 74.6%
home_draw 1.23 81.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 2.12 47.2%
ТМ 2.5 1.78 56.2%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.36 73.5%
П2 3.27 30.6%
Match center
Nantes
D D L W L
27.04 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 0:0 ToulouseToulouse
22.04 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 1:1 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
18.04 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 1:2 RennesRennes
04.04 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 2:1 NiceNice
27.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 1:3 StrasbourgStrasbourg
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.4 Conceded
5 Points
Angers
L L W L W
27.04 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 0:2 LilleLille
20.04 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 1:2 NiceNice
13.04 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 2:0 Montpellier
05.04 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 0:1 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
26.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 4:2 Saint EtienneSaint Etienne
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.4 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNantes - Angers

Nantes
1 matches total
Angers
Nantes: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Angers: 0 (0%)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 22.09 15:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (22.09 15:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 1

Match history

22.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes
1:1
Angers