Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
07.03.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Nantes - Angers

France Futbol
Nantes
Nantes
0 : 1
Finished
Angers
Angers

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nantes - Angers 7 марта 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Nantes.

Line favourite market consensus: Nantes. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.25 / X 3.00 / 2 3.58
  • 1X2 market: Nantes 42.0% / X 31.5% / Angers 26.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 63.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.7%
1 42.0%
X 31.5%
2 26.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.4%
Over 2.5 36.8%
Under 2.5 63.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 07.03.2026 16:00 UTC
Match center

Nantes - Angers

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.59 market consensus · line only
X 3.01 market consensus · line only
1 2.25 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.64 market consensus · line only
12 1.37 market consensus · line only
1X 1.29 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.66 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.26 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.61 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.17 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.58 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.50 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.67 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.12 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.27 44.1%
Х 3.09 32.4%
П2 3.78 26.5%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 2.24 44.6% 2.24 44.6% 2.36 42.4% 2.20 45.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4%
Х 3.00 33.3% 3.00 33.3% 3.13 32.0% 2.90 34.5% 2.90 34.5% 3.05 32.8%
П2 3.45 29.0% 3.65 27.4% 3.68 27.2% 3.40 29.4% 3.60 27.8% 3.65 27.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.65 60.6% 1.69 59.2% 1.66 60.2% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.64 61.0% 1.69 59.2%
yes 2.10 47.6% 2.13 47.0% 2.12 47.2% 2.10 47.6% 2.05 48.8% 2.12 47.2% 2.15 46.5% 2.12 47.2% 2.26 44.3%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.62 61.7% 1.66 60.2% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.67 59.9% 1.62 61.7%
home_away 1.33 75.2% 1.42 70.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.30 76.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.31 76.3% 1.25 80.0%
Match center
Nantes
L W L L L
01.03 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 0:1 LilleLille
22.02 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 2:0 Le HavreLe Havre
13.02 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 1:3 MonacoMonaco
07.02 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 0:1 LionLion
31.01 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 1:2 LorientLorient
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
3 Points
Angers
L L L W W
28.02 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 0:2 MonacoMonaco
22.02 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 0:1 LilleLille
15.02 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 0:2 LorientLorient
08.02 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 1:0 ToulouseToulouse
01.02 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 1:0 MetzMetz
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
0.4 Scored
1.0 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNantes - Angers

Nantes
3 matches total
Angers
Nantes: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (33.3%)
Angers: 2 (66.7%)
Biggest win Angers 1:4 (12.12 19:45 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 5 goals (1:4, 12.12 19:45 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (22.09 15:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 6
6 Goals conceded 2

Match history

12.12 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes
1:4
Angers
04.05 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes
0:1
Angers
22.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes
1:1
Angers