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Start
30.08.2025 17:00 UTC
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30.08.2025 17:00 UTC
Finished
Ligue 1
Nantes - Auxerre
1
:
0
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Nantes - Auxerre August 30, 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Nantes.
Line favourite market consensus: Nantes. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.36 / X 3.18 / 2 3.20
- 1X2 market: Nantes 40.4% / X 29.9% / Auxerre 29.7%
- Total 2.5: over probability 56.9%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.1%
1
40.3%
X
29.9%
2
29.7%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.6%
Over 2.5
43.1%
Under 2.5
56.9%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Nantes - Auxerre
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
3.21
market consensus · line only
X
3.18
market consensus · line only
1
2.36
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.60
market consensus · line only
12
1.35
market consensus · line only
1X
1.36
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.61
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.25
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
3.13
market consensus · line only
2 +1
5.80
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.22
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.68
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.86
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.89
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 2.42 41.3% | |
| X | 3.23 31.0% |
| 3.28 30.5% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.36 42.4% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.47 40.5% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.35 42.6% | 2.40 41.7% | |
| X | 3.15 31.8% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.28 30.5% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.15 31.8% |
| 3.15 31.8% | 3.35 29.9% | 3.28 30.5% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.20 31.3% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.85 54.1% | 1.86 53.8% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.92 52.1% |
| yes | 1.85 54.1% | 1.92 52.1% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.95 51.3% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.57 63.7% | 1.61 62.1% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.61 62.1% |
| home_away | 1.30 76.9% | 1.39 71.9% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.34 74.6% | 1.38 72.5% |
| home_draw | 1.36 73.5% | 1.39 71.9% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.37 73.0% | 1.38 72.5% |
Match center
Nantes
L
L
W
D
L
24.08 15:15 UTC
Ligue 1
Nantes
0:1
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
17.08 18:45 UTC
Ligue 1
Nantes
0:1
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
17.05 19:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Nantes
3:0
Montpellier
10.05 19:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Nantes
1:1
Auxerre
Auxerre
04.05 13:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Nantes
0:1
Angers
Angers
1
Wins
1
Draws
3
Losses
0.8
Scored
0.8
Conceded
4
Points
Auxerre
L
W
L
D
L
23.08 17:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Auxerre
1:3
Nice
Nice
17.08 15:15 UTC
Ligue 1
Auxerre
1:0
Lorient
Lorient
17.05 19:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Auxerre
1:3
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
10.05 19:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Auxerre
1:1
Nantes
Nantes
04.05 15:15 UTC
Ligue 1
Auxerre
1:2
Le Havre
Le Havre
1
Wins
1
Draws
3
Losses
1.0
Scored
1.8
Conceded
4
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyNantes - Auxerre
Nantes
1
matches total
Nantes: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Auxerre: 0 (0%)
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
2 goals (1:1, 10.05 19:00 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
1:1 (10.05 19:00 UTC)
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
10.05 19:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Ligue 1
Nantes
1:1
Auxerre
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