Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
07.02.2026 20:05 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Nantes - Lyon

France Futbol
Nantes
Nantes
0 : 1
Finished
Lyon
Lyon

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nantes - Lyon 7 февраля 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lyon.

Line favourite market consensus: Lyon. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.84 / X 3.70 / 2 1.74
  • 1X2 market: Nantes 19.7% / X 25.7% / Lyon 54.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 19.6%
X 25.7%
2 54.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.6%
Over 2.5 47.8%
Under 2.5 52.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 07.02.2026 20:05 UTC
Match center

Nantes - Lyon

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.74 market consensus · line only
X 3.71 market consensus · line only
1 4.85 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.18 market consensus · line only
12 1.27 market consensus · line only
1X 2.10 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.19 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.04 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.73 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.34 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.00 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.83 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.85 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.89 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 5.01 20.0%
Х 3.83 26.1%
П2 1.75 57.1%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 4.55 22.0% 4.85 20.6% 5.03 19.9% 4.60 21.7% 4.75 21.1% 5.00 20.0%
Х 3.65 27.4% 3.75 26.7% 3.88 25.8% 3.50 28.6% 3.70 27.0% 3.90 25.6%
П2 1.74 57.5% 1.73 57.8% 1.79 55.9% 1.73 57.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.85 54.1% 1.90 52.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.87 53.5% 1.82 55.0% 1.90 52.6%
yes 1.85 54.1% 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.95 51.3% 1.90 52.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.88 53.2% 1.97 50.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.18 84.8% 1.21 82.6% 1.18 84.8% 1.18 84.8% 1.21 82.6% 1.14 87.7%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.26 79.4% 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 2.05 48.8% 2.14 46.7% 2.10 47.6% 2.00 50.0% 2.15 46.5% 2.00 50.0%
Match center
Nantes
L L L W L
31.01 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 1:2 LorientLorient
25.01 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 1:4 NiceNice
18.01 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 1:2 Paris FCParis FC
04.01 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 2:0 MarseilleMarseille
12.12 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 1:4 AngersAngers
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
1.2 Scored
2.4 Conceded
3 Points
Lyon
W W W W W
01.02 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 1:0 LilleLille
25.01 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 5:2 MetzMetz
18.01 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 2:1 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
03.01 16:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 3:1 MonacoMonaco
14.12 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 1:0 Le HavreLe Havre
5 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.4 Scored
0.8 Conceded
15 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNantes - Lyon

Nantes
2 matches total
Lyon
Nantes: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Lyon: 2 (100%)
Biggest win Lion 0:3 (30.11 19:45 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (0:3, 30.11 19:45 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 5
5 Goals conceded 0

Match history

30.11 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes
0:3
Lion
06.10 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes
0:2
Lion