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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
02.11.2025 16:15 UTC Match prediction
02.11.2025 16:15 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Nantes - Metz

France Football
Nantes
Nantes
0 : 2
Finished
Metz
Metz

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nantes - Metz November 2, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Nantes.

Line favourite market consensus: Nantes. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.11 / X 3.59 / 2 3.47
  • 1X2 market: Nantes 45.5% / X 26.8% / Metz 27.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.1%
1 45.5%
X 26.8%
2 27.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.3%
Over 2.5 53.5%
Under 2.5 46.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 02.11.2025 16:15 UTC
Match center

Nantes - Metz

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.48 market consensus · line only
X 3.59 market consensus · line only
1 2.11 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.77 market consensus · line only
12 1.31 market consensus · line only
1X 1.33 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.79 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.37 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.40 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.00 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.81 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.08 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.19 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.65 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.13 47.0%
X 3.63 27.6%
3.53 28.3%

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus
2.14 46.7% 2.13 47.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.13 47.0% 2.13 47.0%
X 3.50 28.6% 3.71 27.0% 3.60 27.8% 3.65 27.4% 3.63 27.6% 3.63 27.6%
3.40 29.4% 3.60 27.8% 3.40 29.4% 3.55 28.2% 3.53 28.3% 3.53 28.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle William Hill
no 2.31 43.3% 2.17 46.1% 2.05 48.8% 2.14 46.7% 2.30 43.5% 2.15 46.5%
yes 1.59 62.9% 1.63 61.4% 1.70 58.8% 1.63 61.4% 1.67 59.9% 1.65 60.6%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus William Hill
draw_away 1.80 55.6% 1.70 58.8% 1.81 55.3% 1.78 56.2% 1.78 56.2% 1.75 57.1%
home_away 1.32 75.8% 1.28 78.1% 1.33 75.2% 1.32 75.8% 1.32 75.8% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.34 74.6% 1.30 76.9% 1.34 74.6% 1.34 74.6% 1.34 74.6% 1.30 76.9%
Match center
Nantes
L W L D D
29.10 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 3:5 MonacoMonaco
24.10 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 2:1 Paris FCParis FC
19.10 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 0:2 LilleLille
04.10 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 0:0 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
27.09 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 2:2 ToulouseToulouse
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
2.0 Conceded
5 Points
Metz
W L L L D
29.10 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Metz 2:0 LensLens
26.10 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Metz 1:6 LilleLille
19.10 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Metz 0:4 ToulouseToulouse
04.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Metz 0:3 MarseilleMarseille
28.09 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Metz 0:0 Le HavreLe Havre
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
0.6 Scored
2.6 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNantes - Metz

Nantes
0 matches total
Metz
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history