Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
20.10.2024 15:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Nantes - Nice

France Futbol
Nantes
Nantes
1 : 1
Finished
Nice
Nice

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nantes - Nice 20 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Nice.

Line favourite market consensus: Nice. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.96 / X 3.18 / 2 2.67
  • 1X2 market: Nantes 32.9% / X 30.6% / Nice 36.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.7%
1 32.9%
X 30.6%
2 36.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.4%
Over 2.5 44.8%
Under 2.5 55.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 20.10.2024 15:00 UTC
Match center

Nantes - Nice

Form 4/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.67 market consensus · line only
X 3.18 market consensus · line only
1 2.96 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.44 market consensus · line only
12 1.40 market consensus · line only
1X 1.53 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.16 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.75 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.96 33.8%
Х 3.18 31.5%
П2 2.67 37.5%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.44 69.4%
home_away 1.40 71.4%
home_draw 1.53 65.4%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 2.16 46.3%
ТМ 2.5 1.75 57.1%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.04 49.0%
П2 1.84 54.4%
Match center
Nantes
L D D L
06.10 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 0:2 LionLion
29.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 2:2 Saint EtienneSaint Etienne
22.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 1:1 AngersAngers
15.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 1:2 Reims
0 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.8 Conceded
2 Points
Nice
D D W L W
06.10 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 1:1 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
28.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 0:0 LensLens
20.09 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 8:0 Saint EtienneSaint Etienne
14.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 0:2 MarseilleMarseille
01.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 4:1 AngersAngers
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
2.6 Scored
0.8 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNantes - Nice

Nantes
0 matches total
Nice
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history