Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
25.01.2026 14:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Nantes - Nice

France Futbol
Nantes
Nantes
1 : 4
Finished
Nice
Nice

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nantes - Nice 25 января 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Nice.

Line favourite market consensus: Nice. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.87 / X 3.37 / 2 2.45
  • 1X2 market: Nantes 33.1% / X 28.2% / Nice 38.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 33.1%
X 28.2%
2 38.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.6%
Over 2.5 52.2%
Under 2.5 47.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 25.01.2026 14:00 UTC
Match center

Nantes - Nice

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.46 market consensus · line only
X 3.37 market consensus · line only
1 2.87 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.42 market consensus · line only
12 1.32 market consensus · line only
1X 1.56 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.43 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.16 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.39 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.81 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.83 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.00 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.20 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.63 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.96 33.8%
Х 3.45 29.0%
П2 2.50 40.0%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 2.75 36.4% 2.85 35.1% 3.00 33.3% 2.80 35.7% 2.90 34.5% 2.92 34.3%
Х 3.35 29.9% 3.45 29.0% 3.46 28.9% 3.20 31.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.30 30.3%
П2 2.46 40.7% 2.42 41.3% 2.54 39.4% 2.40 41.7% 2.40 41.7% 2.47 40.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.20 45.5% 2.23 44.8% 2.20 45.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.17 46.1% 2.32 43.1%
yes 1.60 62.5% 1.64 61.0% 1.61 62.1% 1.65 60.6% 1.67 59.9% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.61 62.1% 1.66 60.2%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.42 70.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.36 73.5% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.32 75.8% 1.36 73.5%
home_draw 1.53 65.4% 1.58 63.3% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.59 62.9%
Match center
Nantes
L W L L L
18.01 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 1:2 Paris FCParis FC
04.01 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 2:0 MarseilleMarseille
12.12 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 1:4 AngersAngers
06.12 16:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 1:2 LensLens
30.11 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 0:3 LionLion
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.2 Conceded
3 Points
Nice
L D L L L
17.01 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 1:5 ToulouseToulouse
03.01 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 1:1 StrasbourgStrasbourg
14.12 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 0:2 LensLens
07.12 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 0:1 AngersAngers
30.11 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 1:3 LorientLorient
0 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
0.6 Scored
2.4 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNantes - Nice

Nantes
3 matches total
Nice
Nantes: 1 (33.3%)
Draws:1 (33.3%)
Nice: 1 (33.4%)
Biggest win Nice 0:1 (13.09 15:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (2:1, 04.04 18:45 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (20.10 15:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 3

Match history

13.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes
0:1
Nice
04.04 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes
2:1
Nice
20.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes
1:1
Nice