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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
22.04.2025 18:45 UTC Match prediction
22.04.2025 18:45 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Nantes - Paris Saint Germain

France Football
Nantes
Nantes
1 : 1
Finished
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nantes - Paris Saint Germain April 22, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Paris Saint Germain.

Line favourite market consensus: Paris Saint Germain. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 7.07 / X 5.42 / 2 1.42
  • 1X2 market: Nantes 13.7% / X 17.9% / Paris Saint Germain 68.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.0%
1 13.7%
X 17.9%
2 68.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 22.04.2025 18:45 UTC
Match center

Nantes - Paris Saint Germain

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.42 market consensus · line only
X 5.42 market consensus · line only
1 7.07 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.13 market consensus · line only
12 1.19 market consensus · line only
1X 3.09 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
7.07 14.1%
X 5.42 18.5%
1.42 70.4%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.13 88.5%
home_away 1.19 84.0%
home_draw 3.09 32.4%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 3.5 2.24 44.6%
Under 3.5 1.70 58.8%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
5.77 17.3%
1.17 85.5%
Match center
Nantes
L W L D L
18.04 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 1:2 RennesRennes
04.04 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 2:1 NiceNice
27.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 1:3 StrasbourgStrasbourg
20.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 1:1 NiceNice
06.10 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 0:2 LionLion
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.8 Conceded
4 Points
Paris Saint Germain
W W W W D
19.04 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 2:1 Le HavreLe Havre
05.04 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 1:0 AngersAngers
27.10 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 3:0 MarseilleMarseille
19.10 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 4:2 StrasbourgStrasbourg
06.10 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 1:1 NiceNice
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.2 Scored
0.8 Conceded
13 Points