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Start
17.08.2025 18:45 UTC
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17.08.2025 18:45 UTC
Finished
Ligue 1
Nantes - Paris Saint Germain
0
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Nantes - Paris Saint Germain August 17, 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Paris Saint Germain.
Line favourite Fonbet: Paris Saint Germain. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 10.70 / X 6.30 / 2 1.28
- 1X2 market: Nantes 9.1% / X 15.4% / Paris Saint Germain 75.6%
- Total 2.5: over probability 63.4%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 3.3%
1
9.0%
X
15.4%
2
75.6%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 5.1%
Over 2.5
63.4%
Under 2.5
36.6%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Nantes - Paris Saint Germain
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.28
Fonbet · line only
X
6.30
Fonbet · line only
1
9.33
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.05
Fonbet · line only
12
1.12
Fonbet · line only
1X
3.70
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.08
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.01
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
1.26
market consensus · line only
2 +1
1.35
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.50
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
2.60
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.92
Fonbet · line only
Yes
1.88
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 11.59 8.6% | |
| X | 6.65 15.0% |
| 1.25 80.0% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.00 9.1% | 8.80 11.4% | 12.20 8.2% | 10.00 10.0% | 11.00 9.1% | 11.25 8.9% | |
| X | 6.20 16.1% | 5.90 17.0% | 6.68 15.0% | 6.00 16.7% | 6.00 16.7% | 6.20 16.1% |
| 1.24 80.7% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.27 78.7% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.29 77.5% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Betway | Bwin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.77 56.5% | 2.00 50.0% | 1.82 55.0% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.78 56.2% | 1.75 57.1% |
| yes | 1.93 51.8% | 1.79 55.9% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.87 53.5% | 2.00 50.0% | 1.95 51.3% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betway |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.05 95.2% | 1.05 95.2% | 1.06 94.3% | 1.05 95.2% | 1.07 93.5% | 1.05 95.2% |
| home_away | 1.11 90.1% | 1.14 87.7% | 1.14 87.7% | 1.12 89.3% | 1.13 88.5% | 1.13 88.5% |
| home_draw | 3.90 25.6% | 4.14 24.2% | 3.75 26.7% | 3.75 26.7% | 3.85 26.0% | 3.80 26.3% |
Match center
Nantes
W
D
L
D
D
17.05 19:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Nantes
3:0
Montpellier
10.05 19:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Nantes
1:1
Auxerre
Auxerre
04.05 13:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Nantes
0:1
Angers
Angers
27.04 15:15 UTC
Ligue 1
Nantes
0:0
Toulouse
Toulouse
22.04 18:45 UTC
Ligue 1
Nantes
1:1
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
1
Wins
3
Draws
1
Losses
1.0
Scored
0.6
Conceded
6
Points
Paris Saint Germain
W
W
L
L
D
17.05 19:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain
3:1
Auxerre
Auxerre
10.05 19:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain
4:1
Montpellier
03.05 15:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain
1:2
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
25.04 18:45 UTC
Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain
1:3
Nice
Nice
22.04 18:45 UTC
Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain
1:1
Nantes
Nantes
2
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
2.0
Scored
1.6
Conceded
7
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyNantes - Paris Saint Germain
Nantes
1
matches total
Nantes: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Paris Saint Germain: 0 (0%)
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
2 goals (1:1, 22.04 18:45 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
1:1 (22.04 18:45 UTC)
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
22.04 18:45 UTC
Ligue 1
Ligue 1
Nantes
1:1
Paris Saint Germain
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