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Ligue 1 France

20.09.2025 15:00 UTC Match prediction

20.09.2025 15:00 UTC

Finished

Ligue 1

Nantes - Rennes

France Football

Nantes

2 : 2

Finished

Rennes

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nantes - Rennes September 20, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Rennes.

Line favourite market consensus: Rennes. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.73 / X 3.44 / 2 2.08
1X2 market: Nantes 25.8% / X 27.9% / Rennes 46.3%
Total 2.5: over probability 53.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.0%

1 25.8%

X 28.0%

2 46.2%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.0%

Over 2.5 46.7%

Under 2.5 53.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 20.09.2025 15:00 UTC

Match center

Nantes - Rennes

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.08 market consensus · line only

X 3.44 market consensus · line only

1 3.75 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.29 market consensus · line only

12 1.33 market consensus · line only

1X 1.81 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.30 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.07 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 2.08 market consensus · line only

2 +1 3.04 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.08 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.82 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.94 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.83 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	3.86 25.9%
X	3.45 29.0%
	2.08 48.1%

Match Winner

Outcome	188Bet	1xBet	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SStats Consensus	William Hill
	3.65 27.4%	3.79 26.4%	3.70 27.0%	3.86 25.9%	3.86 25.9%	3.50 28.6%
X	3.45 29.0%	3.54 28.3%	3.46 28.9%	3.45 29.0%	3.45 29.0%	3.30 30.3%
	2.05 48.8%	2.13 47.0%	2.08 48.1%	2.08 48.1%	2.08 48.1%	2.05 48.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome	188Bet	1xBet	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	William Hill
no	1.95 51.3%	1.92 52.1%	1.90 52.6%	2.00 50.0%	1.91 52.4%
yes	1.83 54.6%	1.80 55.6%	1.80 55.6%	1.88 53.2%	1.83 54.6%

Double chance

Outcome	1xBet	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SStats Consensus	William Hill
draw_away	1.31 76.3%	1.30 76.9%	1.30 76.9%	1.30 76.9%	1.25 80.0%
home_away	1.34 74.6%	1.33 75.2%	1.35 74.1%	1.35 74.1%	1.30 76.9%
home_draw	1.80 55.6%	1.79 55.9%	1.82 55.0%	1.82 55.0%	1.80 55.6%

Match center

Nantes

L W L L W

13.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1

Nantes 0:1 Nice

30.08 17:00 UTC Ligue 1

Nantes 1:0 Auxerre

24.08 15:15 UTC Ligue 1

Nantes 0:1 Strasbourg

17.08 18:45 UTC Ligue 1

Nantes 0:1 Paris Saint Germain

17.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1

Nantes 3:0 Montpellier

2 Wins

0 Draws

3 Losses

0.8 Scored

0.6 Conceded

6 Points

Rennes

W D L W L

14.09 18:45 UTC Ligue 1

Rennes 3:1 Lion

31.08 13:00 UTC Ligue 1

Rennes 1:1 Angers

24.08 13:00 UTC Ligue 1

Rennes 0:4 Lorient

15.08 18:45 UTC Ligue 1

Rennes 1:0 Marseille

17.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1

Rennes 2:4 Marseille

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

1.4 Scored

2.0 Conceded

7 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyNantes - Rennes

Nantes

1 matches total

Rennes

Nantes: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Rennes: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Rennes 1:2 (18.04 18:45 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 3 goals (1:2, 18.04 18:45 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 2

2 Goals conceded 1

Match history

18.04 18:45 UTC

Ligue 1

Nantes

1:2

Rennes