Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
29.09.2024 15:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Nantes - Saint Etienne

France Futbol
Nantes
Nantes
2 : 2
Finished
Saint Etienne
Saint Etienne

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nantes - Saint Etienne 29 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Nantes.

Line favourite market consensus: Nantes. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.74 / X 3.89 / 2 5.09
  • 1X2 market: Nantes 55.9% / X 25.0% / Saint Etienne 19.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.8%
1 55.9%
X 25.0%
2 19.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.6%
Over 2.5 49.2%
Under 2.5 50.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 29.09.2024 15:00 UTC
Match center

Nantes - Saint Etienne

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.09 market consensus · line only
X 3.89 market consensus · line only
1 1.74 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.21 market consensus · line only
12 1.29 market consensus · line only
1X 1.20 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.98 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.92 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.74 57.5%
Х 3.89 25.7%
П2 5.09 19.7%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.21 45.3%
home_away 1.29 77.5%
home_draw 1.20 83.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.98 50.5%
ТМ 2.5 1.92 52.1%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.30 76.9%
П2 3.79 26.4%
Match center
Nantes
D L
22.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 1:1 AngersAngers
15.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 1:2 Reims
0 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.5 Conceded
1 Points
Saint Etienne
L W
20.09 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Saint Etienne 0:8 NiceNice
13.09 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Saint Etienne 1:0 LilleLille
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.5 Scored
4.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNantes - Saint Etienne

Nantes
0 matches total
Saint Etienne
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history